Sport Picks
Atletico El Vigia vs Barquisimeto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Venezuela
Liga FUTVE 2 
Match Events
13'
13'
Colmenarez Y.
26'
26'
Rondon J.
38'
38'
Ospino L.
AI Match Summary
The Liga FUTVE 2 game between Atletico El Vigia and Barquisimeto finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico El Vigia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico El Vigia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Atletico El Vigia come out ahead of Barquisimeto on wins alone.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Atletico El Vigia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Atletico El Vigia Clean Sheet 10%
Barquisimeto Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico El Vigia | Barquisimeto |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Atletico El Vigia
2:4
Aug 23, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Barquisimeto
5:2
May 20, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Atletico El Vigia
5:0
Mar 25, 2026 Liga FUTVE 2
Atletico El Vigia vs Barquisimeto
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Liga FUTVE 2
Barquisimeto vs Atletico El Vigia
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico El Vigia Compare
Top Goalscorer Ospino L.
3 Goals Assists Leader Colmenarez Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Barquisimeto Compare
Top Goalscorer Rondon J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ramos F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico El Vigia 65 / 100
Barquisimeto 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico El Vigia Barquisimeto
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico El Vigia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Atletico El Vigia went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Atletico El Vigia found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Barquisimeto let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Atletico El Vigia VS Barquisimeto
2 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico El Vigia
(Home) 06 Oct
Real Frontera
1 : 1 Atletico El Vigia
03 Oct
Barquisimeto
2 : 4 Atletico El Vigia
30 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
4 : 3 Zamora 2
25 Sept
Academia Puerto Cabello B
1 : 1 Atletico El Vigia
20 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
3 : 1 Real Frontera
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
4 : 3 Zamora 2
20 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
3 : 1 Real Frontera
13 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
1 : 0 Yaracuyanos
02 Sept
Atletico El Vigia
2 : 1 Atletico Barinas
26 Aug
Atletico El Vigia
2 : 0 Atletico Barinas
Page 1 of 3
Barquisimeto
(Away) 10 Oct
Yaracuyanos
3 : 2 Barquisimeto
07 Oct
Barquisimeto
1 : 4 Aragua
03 Oct
Barquisimeto
2 : 4 Atletico El Vigia
30 Sept
Atletico Barinas
1 : 2 Barquisimeto
26 Sept
Barquisimeto
3 : 0 Urena
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Yaracuyanos
3 : 2 Barquisimeto
30 Sept
Atletico Barinas
1 : 2 Barquisimeto
16 Sept
Zamora 2
0 : 2 Barquisimeto
02 Sept
Lara
2 : 1 Barquisimeto
26 Aug
Caracas
3 : 1 Barquisimeto
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lara | 29 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 51:22 | 63 |
| 2 | Barquisimeto | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 54:35 | 53 |
| 3 | Yaracuyanos | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 44:30 | 49 |
| 4 | Urena | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 41:34 | 46 |
| 5 | Zamora 2 | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 6 | Atletico El Vigia | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 40:50 | 40 |
| 7 | Academia Puerto Cabello B | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 38:44 | 34 |
| 8 | Atletico Barinas | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 50:61 | 32 |
| 9 | Real Frontera | 29 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 22:66 | 12 |
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Monagas B | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 41:26 | 48 |
| 2 | Deportivo Miranda | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 32:21 | 41 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 31:29 | 40 |
| 4 | Aragua | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 26:17 | 39 |
| 5 | Dynamo Puerto FC | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 27:26 | 32 |
| 6 | Mineros | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 29:33 | 24 |
| 7 | Maritimo de Venezuela | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 16:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Avila | 25 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 13:32 | 16 |
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs)
