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Atletico Escalerillas vs Fraga Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 17 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Escalerillas in this Tercera Division - Group 17 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Escalerillas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Atletico Escalerillas
30%
Draws
37%
Fraga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fraga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Escalerillas average 1.27 goals a game right now, well clear of Fraga's 1.07.
  • Atletico Escalerillas are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Atletico Escalerillas Clean Sheet 19%
Fraga Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Escalerillas Fraga
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.27 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Escalerillas vs Fraga
2:0
Nov 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Atletico Escalerillas
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Escalerillas 49 / 100
Fraga 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Escalerillas Fraga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Escalerillas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Escalerillas found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Fraga let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Atletico Escalerillas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Fraga
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Escalerillas

(Home)
14 May
Robres
3 : 2
Atletico Escalerillas
07 May
Atletico Escalerillas
3 : 0
Sarinena
30 Apr
Binefar
0 : 0
Atletico Escalerillas
23 Apr
Tamarite
3 : 2
Atletico Escalerillas
13 Apr
Atletico Escalerillas
3 : 0
CD Cuarte
Page 1 of 6

Fraga

(Away)
26 Sept
Huesca B
0 : 0
Fraga
20 Sept
Atletico Monzon
0 : 0
Fraga
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
05 Sept
Robres
1 : 2
Fraga
11 May
Almudevar
5 : 1
Fraga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza B 38 25 8 5 70:19 83
2 Andorra CF 38 25 7 6 64:31 82
3 Tarazona 38 21 10 7 70:33 73
4 Teruel 38 19 14 5 69:38 71
5 Sarinena 38 20 8 10 52:26 68
6 SD Ejea 38 19 9 10 66:38 66
7 Almudevar 38 19 7 12 65:37 64
8 Utebo FC 38 18 7 13 59:58 61
9 CD Carinena 38 14 7 17 50:61 49
10 Binefar 38 12 11 15 36:48 47
11 Atletico Escalerillas 38 12 9 17 54:58 45
12 Borja 38 11 12 15 27:36 45
13 CF Illueca 38 11 10 17 46:63 43
14 CD Cuarte 38 11 8 19 40:52 41
15 Sabinanigo 38 10 11 17 35:47 41
16 CD Belchite 97 38 9 12 17 35:59 39
17 Atletico Monzon 38 10 9 19 40:66 39
18 Villa De Alagon 38 9 9 20 40:68 36
19 Villanueva CF 38 8 8 22 40:66 32
20 Fraga 38 6 6 26 33:87 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)