Sport Picks
Atletico Espeleno vs Cabecense
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 
Match Events
20'
20'
Ortiz Arestoy J. M.
86'
86'
Puerto Bereginal M.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 game between Atletico Espeleno and Cabecense finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
15%
49%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cabecense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Cabecense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Atletico Espeleno are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Atletico Espeleno Clean Sheet 19%
Cabecense Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Espeleno | Cabecense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.84 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.8 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Atletico Espeleno vs Cabecense
1:1
Sep 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Atletico Espeleno
2:1
Mar 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Atletico Espeleno vs Cabecense
1:2
Nov 11, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Atletico Espeleno
1:1
Mar 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Cabecense vs Atletico Espeleno
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Espeleno Compare
Top Goalscorer Ortiz Arestoy J. M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Cabecense Compare
Top Goalscorer Puerto Bereginal M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Espeleno 42 / 100
Cabecense 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Espeleno Cabecense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cabecense let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Cabecense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Atletico Espeleno scored in 58% of their last 31 games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Espeleno VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Espeleno
(Home) 11 May
Atletico Espeleno
1 : 2 Conil
04 May
CD Utrera
3 : 1 Atletico Espeleno
01 May
Atletico Espeleno
1 : 0 San Roque de Lepe
26 Apr
Bollullos
3 : 0 Atletico Espeleno
12 Apr
Atletico Espeleno
1 : 4 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
Page 1 of 7
11 May
Atletico Espeleno
1 : 2 Conil
01 May
Atletico Espeleno
1 : 0 San Roque de Lepe
12 Apr
Atletico Espeleno
1 : 4 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)
30 Mar
Atletico Espeleno
0 : 1 Coria C.F.
16 Mar
Atletico Espeleno
0 : 0 La Palma CF
Page 1 of 4
Cabecense
(Away) 12 May
Ciudad de Lucena
3 : 0 Cabecense
05 May
Cabecense
1 : 1 Ayamonte
01 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 0 Cabecense
27 Apr
Cabecense
2 : 1 La Palma CF
21 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0 Cabecense
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Ciudad de Lucena
3 : 0 Cabecense
01 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 0 Cabecense
21 Apr
Xerez Deportivo FC
4 : 0 Cabecense
07 Apr
Puente Genil
3 : 0 Cabecense
23 Mar
CD Utrera
2 : 3 Cabecense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xerez CD | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 53:21 | 67 |
| 2 | Ciudad de Lucena | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 39:21 | 66 |
| 3 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 50:23 | 64 |
| 4 | Pozoblanco | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 49:36 | 62 |
| 5 | AD Ceuta B | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 47:27 | 56 |
| 6 | Puente Genil | 34 | 13 | 15 | 6 | 52:45 | 54 |
| 7 | Inter Sevilla | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 38:40 | 49 |
| 8 | CD Utrera | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 50:48 | 46 |
| 9 | AD Cartaya | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 35:34 | 45 |
| 10 | La Palma CF | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 49:52 | 41 |
| 11 | Bollullos | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 31:44 | 38 |
| 12 | Conil | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 29:40 | 37 |
| 13 | Cordoba B | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 37:43 | 37 |
| 14 | Atletico Espeleno | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41:53 | 37 |
| 15 | Coria C.F. | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42:54 | 36 |
| 16 | Sevilla C | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 28:35 | 35 |
| 17 | Ayamonte | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 32:47 | 32 |
| 18 | Cabecense | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 25:64 | 28 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
