Sport Picks

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Atletico FC vs EL Nacional

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Godoy W.
26' Event
Espinoza J.
80' Event
Ramirez D.

AI Match Summary

Atletico FC in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Atletico FC
6%
Draws
4%
EL Nacional
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • EL Nacional haven't matched Atletico FC's recent run of results.
  • Atletico FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Atletico FC Clean Sheet 20%
EL Nacional Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico FC EL Nacional
Matches Played 18 31
Wins 7 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 2 20
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Serie B
Atletico FC vs EL Nacional
3:0
Apr 17, 2026 Serie B
EL Nacional vs Atletico FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Godoy W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Espinoza J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

EL Nacional Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico FC 85 / 100
EL Nacional 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico FC EL Nacional

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: EL Nacional conceded in 94% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Atletico FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Atletico FC found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (18 games).

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

Atletico FC VS EL Nacional
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico FC

(Home)
16 Jul
Atletico FC
4 : 1
San Antonio
11 Jul
Independiente Juniors
0 : 0
Atletico FC
02 Jul
Atletico FC
3 : 0
EL Nacional
09 Jun
22 de Julio
0 : 1
Atletico FC
03 Jun
Atletico FC
0 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
Page 1 of 4

EL Nacional

(Away)
15 Jul
Vinotinto
2 : 1
EL Nacional
08 Jul
EL Nacional
0 : 1
Cumbaya
02 Jul
Atletico FC
3 : 0
EL Nacional
11 Jun
EL Nacional
0 : 0
Dep. Santo Domingo
07 Jun
CD Cuenca Juniors
4 : 1
EL Nacional
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1787219:1131
2Atletico FC1779121:1330
3CD Cuenca Juniors1785419:1829
4Independiente Juniors1777318:1128
5Vinotinto1775523:1426
6Cumbaya1757519:1622
7San Antonio1748520:2020
8Dep. Santo Domingo1757513:1219
9LDU Portoviejo1754814:2119
10Gualaceo1766513:1118
1122 de Julio1743109:229
12EL Nacional17041310:291
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)