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Atletico FC vs Nueve de Octubre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie B
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
81' Event
88'

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Atletico FC
15%
Draws
27%
Nueve de Octubre
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico FC lately — more wins on the board than Nueve de Octubre.
  • Model gives Atletico FC a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Atletico FC Clean Sheet 68%
Nueve de Octubre Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico FC Nueve de Octubre
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 12 11
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 1.21 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.66 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs Atletico FC
0:1
Sep 4, 2026 Serie B
Atletico FC vs Nueve de Octubre
2:2
Jun 3, 2026 Serie B
Atletico FC vs Nueve de Octubre
0:0
Apr 4, 2026 Serie B
Nueve de Octubre vs Atletico FC
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico FC 77 / 100
Nueve de Octubre 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico FC Nueve de Octubre

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Atletico FC's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Nueve de Octubre has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico FC VS Nueve de Octubre
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico FC

(Home)
08 Oct
Atletico FC
2 : 1
San Antonio
03 Oct
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 1
Atletico FC
24 Sept
Atletico FC
2 : 0
CD Cuenca Juniors
17 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 1
Atletico FC
10 Sept
San Antonio
0 : 3
Atletico FC
Page 1 of 6

Nueve de Octubre

(Away)
08 Oct
Independiente Juniors
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
03 Oct
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 1
Atletico FC
26 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 0
San Antonio
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
12 Sept
Nueve de Octubre
3 : 1
Independiente Juniors
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico FC 29 13 13 3 36:19 52
2 Independiente Juniors 29 13 11 5 36:23 50
3 Vinotinto 29 13 9 7 37:22 48
4 Nueve de Octubre 29 11 12 6 31:21 45
5 CD Cuenca Juniors 29 10 9 10 23:32 39
6 San Antonio 29 7 12 10 27:34 33
Promotion - Liga Pro 2027 (First stage)