Sport Picks

Colombia

Primera B 2025 Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero

Patriotas

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico F.C. play Patriotas in the Primera B 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico F.C. averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Patriotas averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico F.C. won 0, Patriotas won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 11, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Atletico F.C. and 1.38 for Patriotas. This points to a Patriotas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Atletico F.C.

31%

Draws

46%

Patriotas

Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Patriotas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Atletico F.C. picked up more points recently compared to Patriotas.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Atletico F.C. Clean Sheet 17%

Patriotas Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico F.C.	Patriotas
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	11
Draws	8	8
Losses	17	11
Goals Scored	0.8	1.07
Goals Conceded	1.93	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Copa Colombia

Atletico F.C. vs Patriotas

Possession: 58% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Feb 20, 2026 Primera B

Atletico F.C. vs Patriotas

Possession: 46% - 42% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Oct 24, 2025 Primera B

Atletico F.C. vs Patriotas

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

May 18, 2025 Primera B

Patriotas vs Atletico F.C.

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Sep 11, 2023 Primera B

Patriotas vs Atletico F.C.

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Farias J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Patriotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Copete C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Rivas R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico F.C. 24 / 100

Patriotas 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico F.C. Patriotas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Patriotas or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +53.4%

6.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico F.C. attacking → ← attacking Patriotas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico F.C. scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Patriotas let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Atletico F.C. went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Patriotas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 41

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jaguares de Cordoba	16	12	1	3	25:9	37
2	Patriotas	16	11	2	3	25:15	35
3	Cucuta	16	8	6	2	22:10	30
4	Real Cundinamarca	16	8	4	4	23:12	28
5	Inter Palmira	16	8	4	4	18:15	28
6	Cartagena	16	6	6	4	25:14	24
7	Huila	16	7	3	6	17:18	24
8	Boca Juniors de Cali	16	6	5	5	19:15	23
9	Quindio	16	6	5	5	25:22	23
10	Real Santander	16	5	2	9	18:18	17
11	Orsomarso	16	4	5	7	13:19	17
12	Bogota	16	4	4	8	13:28	16
13	Atletico F.C.	16	4	3	9	17:29	15
14	Tigres Futbol Club	16	3	5	8	14:21	14
15	Barranquilla	16	2	5	9	18:27	11
16	Leones	16	2	4	10	8:28	10