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Atletico F.C. vs Real Santander - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Cali
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Rodriguez P.
10'
Chacon Bonilla E. E.
14' Event
Onate A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera B game between Atletico F.C. and Real Santander finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Atletico F.C.
30%
Draws
39%
Real Santander
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Santander

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico F.C. come out ahead of Real Santander on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Atletico F.C. Clean Sheet 20%
Real Santander Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico F.C. Real Santander
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 4
Draws 9 10
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Real Santander
2:2
Feb 4, 2026 Primera B
Real Santander vs Atletico F.C.
1:1
Sep 22, 2025 Primera B
Real Santander vs Atletico F.C.
4:0
Jun 1, 2025 Copa Colombia
Atletico F.C. vs Real Santander
3:2
Apr 14, 2025 Primera B
Atletico F.C. vs Real Santander
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico F.C. Compare

Top Goalscorer Onate A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Real Santander Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guillen Sanchez J. D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico F.C. 32 / 100
Real Santander 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico F.C. Real Santander

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Santander let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Atletico F.C. found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Atletico F.C. remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico F.C. VS Real Santander
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico F.C.

(Home)
08 Oct
Atletico F.C.
2 : 2
Cartagena
02 Oct
Atletico F.C.
1 : 2
Real Cundinamarca
27 Sept
Envigado
3 : 0
Atletico F.C.
22 Sept
Atletico F.C.
0 : 3
Tigres Futbol Club
14 Sept
Orsomarso
0 : 2
Atletico F.C.
Page 1 of 6

Real Santander

(Away)
09 Oct
Real Cundinamarca
0 : 1
Real Santander
03 Oct
Real Santander
1 : 3
Union Magdalena
26 Sept
Tigres Futbol Club
1 : 1
Real Santander
22 Sept
Real Santander
0 : 0
Orsomarso
13 Sept
Boca Juniors de Cali
2 : 0
Real Santander
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Valle del Cauca 12 7 3 2 16:7 24
2 Real Cundinamarca 12 7 2 3 19:11 23
3 Tigres Futbol Club 12 6 4 2 14:5 22
4 Boca Juniors de Cali 11 5 3 3 18:14 18
5 Patriotas 12 5 3 4 17:17 18
6 Cartagena 12 4 4 4 21:16 16
7 Quindio 11 4 4 3 9:8 16
8 Atletico F.C. 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
9 Real Santander 12 3 6 3 14:18 15
10 Inter Palmira 11 4 2 5 8:12 14
11 Bogota 12 3 4 5 9:13 13
12 Envigado 11 2 6 3 12:11 12
13 Union Magdalena 11 3 3 5 10:12 12
14 Orsomarso 11 2 4 5 7:11 10
15 Leones 11 2 4 5 8:17 10
16 Barranquilla 11 2 3 6 11:17 9
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)