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Atletico FC vs Vinotinto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B
Atletico FC Logo

Atletico FC

Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Vinotinto Logo

Vinotinto

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico FC host Vinotinto in the Serie B. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Atletico FC have averaged 1.21 scored and 0.66 conceded recently, against Vinotinto's 1.29 scored and 0.87 conceded. Head-to-head, Atletico FC have won 1 to Vinotinto's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 27, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.06) back Atletico FC to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Atletico FC
30%
Draws
32%
Vinotinto
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico FC haven't matched Vinotinto's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Atletico FC a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Vinotinto here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Atletico FC Clean Sheet 20%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico FC Vinotinto
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 14
Draws 12 9
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.66 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Atletico FC
1:0
May 31, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Atletico FC
3:0
Mar 26, 2026 Serie B
Atletico FC vs Vinotinto
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico FC 49 / 100
Vinotinto 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico FC Vinotinto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Atletico FC found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Vinotinto let in goals in 61% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Atletico FC VS Vinotinto
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico FC

(Home)
08 Oct
Atletico FC
2 : 1
San Antonio
03 Oct
Nueve de Octubre
0 : 1
Atletico FC
24 Sept
Atletico FC
2 : 0
CD Cuenca Juniors
17 Sept
Independiente Juniors
1 : 1
Atletico FC
10 Sept
San Antonio
0 : 3
Atletico FC
Page 1 of 6

Vinotinto

(Away)
07 Oct
Vinotinto
1 : 1
CD Cuenca Juniors
02 Oct
San Antonio
0 : 0
Vinotinto
24 Sept
Independiente Juniors
2 : 3
Vinotinto
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
11 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 2
Vinotinto
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico FC 29 13 13 3 36:19 52
2 Independiente Juniors 29 13 11 5 36:23 50
3 Vinotinto 29 13 9 7 37:22 48
4 Nueve de Octubre 29 11 12 6 31:21 45
5 CD Cuenca Juniors 29 10 9 10 23:32 39
6 San Antonio 29 7 12 10 27:34 33
Promotion - Liga Pro 2027 (First stage)