Sport Picks
Atletico Gloriense vs Desportiva Aracaju
Brazil
Sergipano 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Atletico Gloriense host Desportiva Aracaju in the Sergipano. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Atletico Gloriense at 1.38 goals for, 1.5 against; Desportiva Aracaju at 1.13 for, 1.38 against. Head-to-head, Atletico Gloriense have won 0 to Desportiva Aracaju's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.31, favoring Desportiva Aracaju. Desportiva Aracaju in a double chance market carries the safer edge.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Desportiva Aracaju has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Atletico Gloriense.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Atletico Gloriense.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Sergipano provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Gloriense | Desportiva Aracaju |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 18 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Gloriense Compare
Desportiva Aracaju Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico Gloriense scored in 75% of their last 32 games.
Desportiva Aracaju let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Atletico Gloriense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Desportiva Aracaju lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sergipe | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Itabaiana | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:4 | 17 |
| 3 | Lagarto | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Confianca | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 5 | Guarany SE | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | America de Propria | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 8:8 | 12 |
| 7 | Falcon | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Atletico Gloriense | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:13 | 10 |
| 9 | Dorense | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:23 | 7 |
| 10 | Desportiva Aracaju | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:17 | 2 |