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Atletico Granadilla vs Estrella Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 12 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Granadilla in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2014/2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Granadilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Atletico Granadilla
15%
Draws
59%
Estrella
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Estrella

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Estrella have won more games recently than Atletico Granadilla.
  • Estrella are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 12 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Atletico Granadilla Clean Sheet 20%
Estrella Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Granadilla Estrella
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 3 8
Draws 7 10
Losses 21 12
Goals Scored 0.65 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.71 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Granadilla vs Estrella
2:1
Nov 16, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Atletico Granadilla
1:1
Jan 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Estrella vs Atletico Granadilla
1:0
Sep 1, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Granadilla vs Estrella
0:1
May 19, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Granadilla vs Estrella
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Granadilla 10 / 100
Estrella 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Granadilla Estrella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Estrella Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrella let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Atletico Granadilla's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Atletico Granadilla went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Estrella
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Granadilla

(Home)
01 Aug
Las Zocas
5 : 0
Atletico Granadilla
15 May
Atletico Granadilla
0 : 4
Lanzarote
08 May
SD Tenisca
4 : 0
Atletico Granadilla
29 Apr
Ibarra
2 : 0
Atletico Granadilla
23 Apr
Atletico Granadilla
1 : 0
CD Marino
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Estrella

(Away)
25 Sept
Estrella
1 : 1
Las Palmas C
19 Sept
San Bartolome
4 : 2
Estrella
12 Sept
Estrella
3 : 1
Villaverde Norte
11 May
Estrella
2 : 1
Herbania
04 May
San Bartolome
1 : 0
Estrella
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mensajero 38 20 11 7 61:35 71
2 Lanzarote 38 19 11 8 60:44 68
3 CD Marino 38 16 17 5 58:42 65
4 Real Sporting San Jose 38 15 15 8 57:38 60
5 Union Sur Yaiza 37 15 10 12 39:34 55
6 Villa Santa Brigida 38 14 11 13 55:50 53
7 Tenerife B 38 13 13 12 53:42 52
8 Union Viera 38 14 9 15 61:54 51
9 Arucas 38 14 8 16 46:52 50
10 Ibarra 38 12 13 13 51:58 49
11 El Cotillo 38 12 11 15 40:62 47
12 Atletico Granadilla 38 12 11 15 45:53 47
13 CD Santa Ursula 38 13 8 17 41:49 47
14 Telde 38 11 13 14 44:51 46
15 SD Tenisca 37 11 13 13 53:47 46
16 Las Zocas 38 13 7 18 53:67 46
17 Vera CD 38 12 9 17 55:68 45
18 Estrella 38 11 11 16 49:45 44
19 CD Laguna 38 11 11 16 45:58 44
20 Atletico Victoria 38 11 8 19 41:58 41
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)