Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010

Victoria CD

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Granadilla play Victoria CD in the Tercera Division - Group 12 2009/2010. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico Granadilla averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.96 conceded. Victoria CD averaged 0.92 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico Granadilla won 3, Victoria CD won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 24, 2011 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Atletico Granadilla and 1.69 for Victoria CD. This points to a Atletico Granadilla double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%

Atletico Granadilla

15%

Draws

41%

Victoria CD

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Granadilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Atletico Granadilla picked up more points recently compared to Victoria CD.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 78%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Over 3.5 Goals 27%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%

Atletico Granadilla Clean Sheet 13%

Victoria CD Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 70%

Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Granadilla	Victoria CD
Matches Played	48	36
Wins	16	13
Draws	10	5
Losses	22	18
Goals Scored	1.19	0.92
Goals Conceded	1.96	1.31

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Atletico Granadilla vs Victoria CD

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Dec 12, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Victoria CD vs Atletico Granadilla

Possession: 54% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Apr 4, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Atletico Granadilla vs Victoria CD

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Nov 28, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Victoria CD vs Atletico Granadilla

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

Feb 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 12

Victoria CD vs Atletico Granadilla

Possession: 51% - 48% Cards: 0 - 4

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Granadilla 42 / 100

Victoria CD 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Granadilla Victoria CD

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atletico Granadilla or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +22.3%

2.78

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.2%

2.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico Granadilla attacking → ← attacking Victoria CD

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Granadilla scored in 65% of their last 48 games.

Victoria CD let in goals in 61% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Atletico Granadilla went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Victoria CD lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 44

0.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corralejo	41	21	16	4	56:25	79
2	Las Palmas B	41	20	14	7	67:38	74
3	Pajara Playas	41	21	11	9	64:36	74
4	CD Marino	41	19	13	9	65:39	70
5	Mensajero	41	17	17	7	59:36	68
6	Atletico Granadilla	41	19	11	11	55:48	68
7	Villa Santa Brigida	41	15	15	11	42:29	60
8	UD Realejos	41	15	11	15	45:43	56
9	AD Huracan	41	14	13	14	42:40	55
10	SD Tenisca	41	16	7	18	55:47	55
11	Tijarafe	41	12	16	13	51:53	52
12	Castillo CF	41	11	17	13	46:50	50
13	Orientacion Maritima	41	12	14	15	44:55	50
14	Teror	41	12	13	16	46:53	49
15	CD Laguna	41	12	11	18	41:54	47
16	Las Zocas	41	11	14	16	38:53	47
17	Victoria CD	41	10	17	14	37:44	47
18	CD Charco Del Pino	41	10	16	15	39:50	46
19	Galdar	41	9	13	19	34:62	40
20	Los Llanos	41	7	15	19	33:58	36
21	Univ. Las Palmas B	41	7	11	23	44:73	32
22	Fuerteventura	21	5	7	9	23:40	22