Sport Picks
Atletico Grau vs Carlos Mannucci
Peru
Copa de la Liga Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura 
Match Events
16'
16'
Valladares G.
Own Goal
28'
28'
Murillo M.
28'
28'
Tapia I.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-1, with Atletico Grau advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Grau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Carlos Mannucci carry the better recent record into this one.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Grau taking it.
- Carlos Mannucci arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Atletico Grau, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 19%
Carlos Mannucci Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Grau | Carlos Mannucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 9, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Atletico Grau vs Carlos Mannucci
2:1
Aug 27, 2024 Liga 1
Carlos Mannucci vs Atletico Grau
1:1
Mar 30, 2024 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Carlos Mannucci
3:0
Jul 2, 2023 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Carlos Mannucci
0:2
May 14, 2023 Liga 1
Carlos Mannucci vs Atletico Grau
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Grau Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Carlos Mannucci Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Grau 42 / 100
Carlos Mannucci 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Grau Carlos Mannucci
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico Grau went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Carlos Mannucci's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Atletico Grau scored in 56% of their last 27 outings.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Grau VS Carlos Mannucci
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Grau
(Home) 18 Jul
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Cajamarca
09 Jul
Atletico Grau
2 : 1 Carlos Mannucci
26 Jun
Universitario de Deportes
1 : 1 Atletico Grau
22 Jun
Atletico Grau
3 : 2 Pirata
29 May
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 Moquegua
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Cajamarca
09 Jul
Atletico Grau
2 : 1 Carlos Mannucci
22 Jun
Atletico Grau
3 : 2 Pirata
29 May
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 Moquegua
09 May
Atletico Grau
1 : 2 Cienciano
Page 1 of 3
Carlos Mannucci
(Away) 19 Jul
Carlos Mannucci
1 : 0 Llacuabamba
09 Jul
Atletico Grau
2 : 1 Carlos Mannucci
28 Jun
Cesar Vallejo
2 : 3 Carlos Mannucci
21 Jun
Carlos Mannucci
3 : 1 A. Lima
13 Jun
Carlos Mannucci
0 : 1 Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 6
09 Jul
Atletico Grau
2 : 1 Carlos Mannucci
28 Jun
Cesar Vallejo
2 : 3 Carlos Mannucci
17 May
AD Cantolao
1 : 4 Carlos Mannucci
02 May
Cesar Vallejo
2 : 0 Carlos Mannucci
18 Apr
ADA Jaen
0 : 0 Carlos Mannucci
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Alianza Atl.3
Pirata2
Cajamarca4
ADA Jaen1
Atletico Grau2
Carlos Mannucci1
Sport Boys1
Comerciantes FC0
Sporting Cristal2
Tacna Heroica1
Sport Huancayo3
Los Chankas1
Cienciano2
AD Tarma3
Moquegua1
Deportivo Garcilaso0
Quarter-finals
Alianza Atl.-
Cajamarca-
Atletico Grau-
Sport Boys-
Sporting Cristal-
Sport Huancayo-
AD Tarma-
Moquegua-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-