Sport Picks
Atletico Grau vs Carlos Mannucci Prediction & H2H Stats
Peru
Copa de la Liga Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura 
Match Events
16'
16'
Valladares G.
Own Goal
28'
28'
Murillo M.
28'
28'
Tapia I.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Carlos Mannucci
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Carlos Mannucci carry the better recent record into this one.
- 53% — that's where the model lands on Carlos Mannucci taking it.
- Carlos Mannucci arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Atletico Grau, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 11%
Carlos Mannucci Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Grau | Carlos Mannucci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.76 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 9, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Atletico Grau vs Carlos Mannucci
2:1
Aug 27, 2024 Liga 1
Carlos Mannucci vs Atletico Grau
1:1
Mar 30, 2024 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Carlos Mannucci
3:0
Jul 2, 2023 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Carlos Mannucci
0:2
May 14, 2023 Liga 1
Carlos Mannucci vs Atletico Grau
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Grau Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Carlos Mannucci Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Grau 10 / 100
Carlos Mannucci 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Grau Carlos Mannucci
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Carlos Mannucci Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico Grau scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Carlos Mannucci's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Atletico Grau has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Grau VS Carlos Mannucci
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Grau
(Home) 19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1 Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 FBC Melgar
26 Aug
Atletico Grau
2 : 3 Sport Boys
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 FBC Melgar
26 Aug
Atletico Grau
2 : 3 Sport Boys
14 Aug
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
01 Aug
Atletico Grau
0 : 1 Sport Boys
Page 1 of 3
Carlos Mannucci
(Away) 26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0 U. San Martin
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4 Carlos Mannucci
29 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0 AD Cantolao
23 Aug
Union Comercio
0 : 0 Carlos Mannucci
16 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
0 : 1 Cesar Vallejo
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4 Carlos Mannucci
23 Aug
Union Comercio
0 : 0 Carlos Mannucci
09 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3 Carlos Mannucci
25 Jul
U. San Martin
2 : 0 Carlos Mannucci
09 Jul
Atletico Grau
2 : 1 Carlos Mannucci
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Alianza Atl. 3
Pirata 2
Cajamarca 4
ADA Jaen 1
Atletico Grau 2
Carlos Mannucci 1
Sport Boys 1
Comerciantes FC 0
Sporting Cristal 2
Tacna Heroica 1
Sport Huancayo 3
Los Chankas 1
Cienciano 2
AD Tarma 3
Moquegua 1
Deportivo Garcilaso 0
Quarter-finals
Alianza Atl. 2
Cajamarca 1
Atletico Grau 2
Sport Boys 3
Sporting Cristal 4
Sport Huancayo 1
AD Tarma 2
Moquegua 0
Semi-finals
Alianza Atl. 5
Sport Boys 2
Sporting Cristal 6
AD Tarma 0
Final
TBD -
Sporting Cristal -
