Sport Picks
Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 1 Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura 
Match Events
13'
13'
Alcedo F.
27'
27'
Rojas F.
44'
44'
de la Cruz A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga 1 game between Atletico Grau and Comerciantes Unidos finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Grau.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico Grau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Atletico Grau come out ahead of Comerciantes Unidos on wins alone.
- Model gives Atletico Grau a 54% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 68%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Grau | Comerciantes Unidos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos
1:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Atletico Grau
3:1
Aug 15, 2025 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos
1:2
Mar 27, 2025 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Atletico Grau
2:2
Jul 31, 2024 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Comerciantes Unidos
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Grau Compare
Top Goalscorer de la Cruz P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Comerciantes Unidos Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Grau 50 / 100
Comerciantes Unidos 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Grau Comerciantes Unidos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico Grau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Comerciantes Unidos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: Atletico Grau scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Atletico Grau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Grau VS Comerciantes Unidos
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Grau
(Home) 08 Oct
Atletico Grau
0 : 0 Los Chankas
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1 Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2 Atletico Grau
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 FBC Melgar
Page 1 of 6
08 Oct
Atletico Grau
0 : 0 Los Chankas
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 FBC Melgar
26 Aug
Atletico Grau
2 : 3 Sport Boys
14 Aug
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 4
Comerciantes Unidos
(Away) 10 Oct
Comerciantes Unidos
1 : 1 Juan Pablo II
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
12 Sept
Comerciantes Unidos
0 : 1 Sport Huancayo
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
28 Aug
Comerciantes Unidos
2 : 3 FC Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
06 Sept
Universitario de Deportes
2 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
22 Aug
Cajamarca
1 : 3 Comerciantes Unidos
14 Aug
Atletico Grau
1 : 0 Comerciantes Unidos
31 Jul
Los Chankas
3 : 2 Comerciantes Unidos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:7 | 22 |
| 2 | Sport Huancayo | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 22 |
| 3 | Universitario de Deportes | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:18 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 5 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 19 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 7 | Alianza Atl. | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Sport Boys | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14:7 | 18 |
| 9 | Cusco | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 19:14 | 18 |
| 10 | Atletico Grau | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:13 | 17 |
| 11 | A. Lima | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 12 | Cienciano | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 13 | FC Cajamarca | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 18:24 | 11 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 15 | Los Chankas | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Moquegua | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 7:19 | 7 |
| 17 | AD Tarma | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7:21 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11:24 | 2 |
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)
