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Atletico Grau vs Los Chankas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Ambrosio Maco Arroyo, Piura
Thu, Oct 8, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Grau host Los Chankas in the Liga 1. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Atletico Grau at 1.17 goals for, 1.24 against; Los Chankas at 1.38 for, 1.62 against. Head-to-head, Atletico Grau have won 2 to Los Chankas's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 17, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 1.25) point toward Los Chankas. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Atletico Grau
15%
Draws
12%
Los Chankas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Grau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Los Chankas lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Grau.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Grau taking it.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 19%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Grau Los Chankas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Atletico Grau
2:0
Aug 10, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Atletico Grau
3:2
Mar 10, 2025 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Los Chankas
2:1
Aug 21, 2024 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Los Chankas
1:1
Mar 15, 2024 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Atletico Grau
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Grau 85 / 100
Los Chankas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Grau Los Chankas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Grau Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico Grau scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Los Chankas has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Los Chankas has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Grau VS Los Chankas
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Grau

(Home)
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2
Atletico Grau
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0
FBC Melgar
26 Aug
Atletico Grau
2 : 3
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 6

Los Chankas

(Away)
30 Sept
Cienciano
1 : 1
Los Chankas
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2
FC Cajamarca
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
Los Chankas
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4
Juan Pablo II
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0
Los Chankas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 7 1 2 18:6 22
2 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
3 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
4 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Sport Huancayo 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
11 Atletico Grau 10 5 1 4 14:13 16
12 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
13 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
14 Cienciano 10 2 2 6 12:18 8
15 Los Chankas 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
16 Moquegua 10 1 4 5 7:17 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)