Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Ibanes vs Illescas

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021 game between Atletico Ibanes and Illescas finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Illescas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Atletico Ibanes
35%
Draws
30%
Illescas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Ibanes haven't matched Illescas's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Atletico Ibanes Clean Sheet 20%
Illescas Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ibanes Illescas
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 6 10
Draws 14 14
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0.9 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Atletico Ibanes vs Illescas
2:3
Apr 25, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Atletico Ibanes
2:1
May 3, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Atletico Ibanes vs Illescas
0:0
Dec 14, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Atletico Ibanes
0:1
Mar 19, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Illescas vs Atletico Ibanes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ibanes 32 / 100
Illescas 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ibanes Illescas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ibanes found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Illescas let in goals in 63% of their last 38 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Atletico Ibanes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Illescas
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Ibanes

(Home)
05 Jun
Azuqueca
3 : 0
Atletico Ibanes
29 May
Atletico Ibanes
2 : 3
Illescas
23 May
Conquense
2 : 2
Atletico Ibanes
15 May
Atletico Ibanes
2 : 0
Madridejos
09 May
CD Pedroneras
0 : 1
Atletico Ibanes
Page 1 of 6

Illescas

(Away)
20 Sept
Quintanar del Rey
2 : 2
Illescas
13 Sept
Illescas
0 : 0
Socuellamos
05 Sept
CD Tarancon
0 : 1
Illescas
29 Aug
Illescas
0 : 1
Pozuelo de Alarcon
18 Aug
Illescas
1 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes B
Page 1 of 8