Sport Picks
Atletico La Paz vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo Prediction & H2H Stats
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Guaycura, La Paz 
Match Events
15'
15'
Gonzalez K.
32'
32'
Montes J.
38'
38'
Zurita Jimenez U.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Expansion MX game between Atletico La Paz and Cruz Azul Hidalgo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
20%
19%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico La Paz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Cruz Azul Hidalgo haven't matched Atletico La Paz's recent run of results.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Atletico La Paz taking it.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Atletico La Paz Clean Sheet 20%
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico La Paz | Cruz Azul Hidalgo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico La Paz Compare
Top Goalscorer Torres E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Cruz Azul Hidalgo Compare
Top Goalscorer Suarez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico La Paz 85 / 100
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico La Paz Cruz Azul Hidalgo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico La Paz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico La Paz scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: Atletico La Paz stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Cruz Azul Hidalgo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Atletico La Paz VS Cruz Azul Hidalgo
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico La Paz
(Home) 25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3 Atletico La Paz
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2 Atletico La Paz
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
28 Aug
Cancun
1 : 2 Atletico La Paz
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
22 Aug
Atletico La Paz
1 : 1 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
15 Aug
Atletico La Paz
2 : 0 Piratas
01 Aug
Atletico La Paz
0 : 1 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 3
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
(Away) 26 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 2 Leones Negros
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
1 : 1 Piratas
06 Sept
Cancun
6 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
29 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
6 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
06 Sept
Cancun
6 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
22 Aug
Atletico La Paz
1 : 1 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
09 Aug
Jaiba Brava
3 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
26 Jul
Tapatio
0 : 0 Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Atletico Morelia | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23:11 | 20 |
| 3 | Leones Negros | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 21:13 | 20 |
| 4 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:15 | 17 |
| 5 | Venados FC | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 24:20 | 16 |
| 6 | Piratas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Correcaminos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 15 |
| 8 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 18:15 | 14 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 10 | Alacranes de Durango | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | 14 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:14 | 13 |
| 12 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 18:22 | 11 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 14 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8:18 | 10 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:18 | 7 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
