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Atletico La Paz vs Zacatecas Mineros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Guaycura, La Paz
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Jaimes U.
Assist: Robles A.
36'
Mazatan O.
43'
Villalobos A.

AI Match Summary

Atletico La Paz in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico La Paz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Atletico La Paz
20%
Draws
33%
Zacatecas Mineros
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico La Paz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico La Paz have won more games recently than Zacatecas Mineros.
  • Win probability leans Atletico La Paz's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Atletico La Paz Clean Sheet 18%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico La Paz Zacatecas Mineros
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.83 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Zacatecas Mineros
3:0
Jan 24, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Atletico La Paz
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Zacatecas Mineros
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Atletico La Paz vs Zacatecas Mineros
0:2
Sep 19, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Atletico La Paz
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico La Paz Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaimes U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barragan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Zacatecas Mineros Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico La Paz 58 / 100
Zacatecas Mineros 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico La Paz Zacatecas Mineros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico La Paz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico La Paz scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Zacatecas Mineros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Atletico La Paz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico La Paz VS Zacatecas Mineros
2.63 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico La Paz

(Home)
09 Oct
Tapatio
2 : 4
Atletico La Paz
03 Oct
Atletico La Paz
1 : 2
Venados FC
25 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 3
Atletico La Paz
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1
Correcaminos
13 Sept
Leones Negros
2 : 2
Atletico La Paz
Page 1 of 6

Zacatecas Mineros

(Away)
11 Oct
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 2
Cancun
04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2
Zacatecas Mineros
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0
Piratas
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1
Zacatecas Mineros
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1
Club Atletico Morelia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leones Negros 12 7 3 2 28:17 24
2 Atletico La Paz 12 7 2 3 28:15 23
3 Club Atletico Morelia 12 7 2 3 22:13 23
4 Venados FC 12 6 2 4 27:22 20
5 Piratas 12 5 3 4 18:14 18
6 Zacatecas Mineros 11 5 2 4 23:19 17
7 Cancun 11 5 2 4 19:15 17
8 Alacranes de Durango 11 5 2 4 11:11 17
9 Correcaminos 12 4 4 4 20:20 16
10 Tlaxcala 12 4 3 5 23:25 15
11 Tapatio 11 4 2 5 19:19 14
12 Dorados de Sinaloa 11 3 4 4 20:20 13
13 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 12 4 1 7 10:23 13
14 Jaiba Brava 11 3 2 6 12:19 11
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 11 1 5 5 11:18 8
16 Tepatitlan de Morelos 11 2 1 8 9:30 7
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)