Sport Picks

Zambia

Super League 2024/2025

Atletico Lusaka

1 - 2

Mutondo Stars

Our Tip

Match Events

Mwansa C.

10'

Adongo R.

69'

Chisala B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2024/2025 game between Atletico Lusaka and Mutondo Stars finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mutondo Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Atletico Lusaka

44%

Draws

20%

Mutondo Stars

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Mutondo Stars carry the better recent record into this one.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 14%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Atletico Lusaka Clean Sheet 23%

Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Lusaka	Mutondo Stars
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	9	11
Draws	7	14
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	0	0.88
Goals Conceded	0	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2025 Super League

Atletico Lusaka vs Mutondo Stars

Possession: 47% - 57% Cards: 4 - 1

1:2

Dec 8, 2024 Super League

Mutondo Stars vs Atletico Lusaka

Possession: 54% - 52% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Lusaka Compare

Top Goalscorer Chisala B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Mutondo Stars Compare

Top Goalscorer Mwansa C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Adongo R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Lusaka 37 / 100

Mutondo Stars 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Lusaka Mutondo Stars

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUT Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mutondo Stars let in goals in 67% of their last 36 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Atletico Lusaka found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Atletico Lusaka went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mutondo Stars

0 Goals Scored 0.88

0 Goals Conceded 0.63

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 13%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Power Dynamos	34	20	8	6	54:22	68
2	Zesco	34	17	12	5	34:20	63
3	Nkana	34	16	10	8	48:29	58
4	Red Arrows	34	15	11	8	32:24	56
5	Kabwe	34	13	12	9	38:27	51
6	Nkwazi	34	12	14	8	31:26	50
7	Green Buffaloes FC	34	11	12	11	34:35	45
8	Mufulira Wanderers	34	13	6	15	30:31	45
9	NAPSA Stars	34	9	17	8	24:22	44
10	Muza Fc	34	11	11	12	33:34	44
11	Nchanga Rangers	34	9	15	10	29:28	42
12	Green Eagles	34	9	14	11	32:34	41
13	Mutondo Stars	34	10	11	13	26:34	41
14	Zanaco	34	9	12	13	34:41	39
15	Atletico Lusaka	34	10	9	15	27:46	39
16	Forest Rangers	34	7	17	10	31:34	38
17	Lumwana Radiants	34	10	7	17	21:36	37
18	Indeni	34	3	6	25	20:55	15