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Atletico-MG U20 vs Goias U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20 B
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Lucas Louback

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro U20 B game between Atletico-MG U20 and Goias U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico-MG U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Atletico-MG U20
15%
Draws
42%
Goias U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico-MG U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico-MG U20 come out ahead of Goias U20 on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Atletico-MG U20 taking it.
  • Regular Brasileiro U20 B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Atletico-MG U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Goias U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-MG U20 Goias U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 16
Draws 2 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.55 1.63
Goals Conceded 1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Brasileiro U20 B
Atletico-MG U20 vs Goias U20
1:0
Apr 11, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Atletico-MG U20 vs Goias U20
1:1
Nov 30, 2020 Brasileiro U20
Atletico-MG U20 vs Goias U20
4:3
Nov 19, 2020 Copa do Brasil U20
Goias U20 vs Atletico-MG U20
1:2
Nov 12, 2020 Copa do Brasil U20
Atletico-MG U20 vs Goias U20
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-MG U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Louback
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Goias U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-MG U20 67 / 100
Goias U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-MG U20 Goias U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-MG U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goias U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Atletico-MG U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Atletico-MG U20 scored in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-MG U20 VS Goias U20
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-MG U20

(Home)
02 Oct
Coimbra Sports U20
1 : 3
Atletico-MG U20
26 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
5 : 1
Coimbra Sports U20
19 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 2
Nacional de Muriae U20
13 Sept
America MG U20
4 : 1
Atletico-MG U20
08 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 0
Sobradinho U20
Page 1 of 6

Goias U20

(Away)
09 Sept
Goias U20
4 : 2
Trindade U20
23 Jul
Ceara U20
1 : 2
Goias U20
01 Jul
Goias U20
2 : 1
CRB U20
16 Jun
Atletico GO U20
0 : 1
Goias U20
30 May
Cerrado EC U20
2 : 1
Goias U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 7 6 1 0 15:4 19
2 CRB U20 7 4 2 1 9:6 14
3 Atletico-MG U20 7 4 1 2 13:5 13
4 Goias U20 7 4 1 2 12:6 13
5 Novorizontino U20 7 3 1 3 9:9 10
6 Mirassol U20 7 2 0 5 8:17 6
7 Chapecoense-SC U20 7 1 2 4 5:10 5
8 Brusque U20 7 0 0 7 5:19 0
Promotion - Brasileiro U20 B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico GO U20 7 5 0 2 13:9 15
2 Coritiba U20 7 4 2 1 14:7 14
3 Sport Recife U20 7 4 1 2 15:9 13
4 Internacional U20 7 4 0 3 14:13 12
5 Vila Nova FC U20 7 3 2 2 15:16 11
6 Botafogo SP U20 7 3 1 3 15:9 10
7 Paysandu PA U20 7 1 0 6 5:13 3
8 Operario PR U20 7 1 0 6 5:20 3
Promotion - Brasileiro U20 B (Play Offs)