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Atletico-MG U20 vs Goias U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20 B
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Lucas Louback

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro U20 B game between Atletico-MG U20 and Goias U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico-MG U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Atletico-MG U20
39%
Draws
31%
Goias U20
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico-MG U20 come out ahead of Goias U20 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Brasileiro U20 B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Atletico-MG U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Goias U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-MG U20 Goias U20
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 16
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 2.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 Brasileiro U20 B
Atletico-MG U20 vs Goias U20
1:0
Apr 11, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Atletico-MG U20 vs Goias U20
1:1
Nov 30, 2020 Brasileiro U20
Atletico-MG U20 vs Goias U20
4:3
Nov 19, 2020 Copa do Brasil U20
Goias U20 vs Atletico-MG U20
1:2
Nov 12, 2020 Copa do Brasil U20
Atletico-MG U20 vs Goias U20
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-MG U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Louback
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Goias U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-MG U20 31 / 100
Goias U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-MG U20 Goias U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goias U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Atletico-MG U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Atletico-MG U20 scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-MG U20 VS Goias U20
2.38 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ceara U20761015:419
2CRB U2074219:614
3Atletico-MG U20741213:513
4Goias U20741212:613
5Novorizontino U2073139:910
6Mirassol U2072058:176
7Chapecoense-SC U2071245:105
8Brusque U2070075:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico GO U20750213:915
2Coritiba U20742114:714
3Sport Recife U20741215:913
4Internacional U20740314:1312
5Vila Nova FC U20732215:1611
6Botafogo SP U20731315:910
7Paysandu PA U2071065:133
8Operario PR U2071065:203