Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte

Atletico-MG

2 - 1

Juventud

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Franco A.

33'

Cruz A.

40'

Bernard

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Atletico-MG

20%

Draws

38%

Juventud

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico-MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Atletico-MG have won more games recently than Juventud.
Model gives Atletico-MG a 42% chance of winning this.
Atletico-MG have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Atletico-MG, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 20%

Juventud Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico-MG	Juventud
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	15	10
Draws	9	11
Losses	6	8
Goals Scored	1.47	1.34
Goals Conceded	1.1	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	1.20	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Juventud vs Atletico-MG

2:2

Apr 16, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Atletico-MG vs Juventud

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernard

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cassierra M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.6

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-MG 42 / 100

Juventud 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico-MG Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Atletico-MG scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Juventud conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Atletico-MG has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-MG VS Juventud

1.25 Goals Scored 1.25

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-MG

(Home)

16 Sept

Atletico-MG

5 : 2

Santos

12 Sept

Atletico-MG

3 : 1

Fluminense

09 Sept

Santos

2 : 0

Atletico-MG

05 Sept

Sao Paulo

2 : 0

Atletico-MG

02 Sept

Atletico-MG

2 : 1

Cruzeiro

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Juventud

(Away)

17 Sept

Juventud

3 : 0

Racing Montevideo

13 Sept

Juventud

1 : 1

Danubio

06 Sept

Club Nacional

2 : 2

Juventud

02 Sept

Central Esp.

3 : 0

Juventud

29 Aug

Juventud

2 : 0

Maldonado

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