Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte

Atletico-MG

2 - 1

Juventud

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Franco A.

33'

Cruz A.

40'

Bernard

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico-MG in this Copa Sudamericana tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Atletico-MG

11%

Draws

Juventud

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Atletico-MG

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Atletico-MG have won more games recently than Juventud.
Model gives Atletico-MG a 80% chance of winning this.
Atletico-MG have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Atletico-MG, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 20%

Juventud Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico-MG	Juventud
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	13	8
Draws	5	10
Losses	9	12
Goals Scored	1.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.5	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Juventud vs Atletico-MG

2:2

Apr 16, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Atletico-MG vs Juventud

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-MG Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernard

1 Goals

Assists Leader Cassierra M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Juventud Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-MG 76 / 100

Juventud 11 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico-MG Juventud

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventud let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Atletico-MG remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Atletico-MG scored in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-MG VS Juventud

1.25 Goals Scored 1.25

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63

50% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-MG

(Home)

01 Aug

Atletico-MG

0 : 0

EC Juventude

26 Jul

Palmeiras

1 : 2

Atletico-MG

21 Jul

Atletico-MG

1 : 1

Bahia

31 May

Vasco

0 : 1

Atletico-MG

27 May

Atletico-MG

1 : 0

Academia Puerto Cabello

Page 1 of 6

Juventud

(Away)

01 Aug

Maldonado

0 : 0

Juventud

17 Jul

Albion

0 : 1

Juventud

11 Jul

Juventud

1 : 3

Montevideo City

05 Jul

Danubio

1 : 1

Juventud

06 Jun

Club Nacional

2 : 1

Juventud

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