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Atletico-MG W vs America Mineiro W

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Mineiro Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
Thalita
90' Event
Rafa Levis

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro Women 2025 game between Atletico-MG W and America Mineiro W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Atletico-MG W
22%
Draws
18%
America Mineiro W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Atletico-MG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico-MG W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Atletico-MG W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 20%
America Mineiro W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-MG W America Mineiro W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.38 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Brasileiro Women
America Mineiro W vs Atletico-MG W
0:2
Nov 8, 2025 Mineiro Women
America Mineiro W vs Atletico-MG W
5:0
Nov 1, 2025 Mineiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs America Mineiro W
4:0
Oct 12, 2025 Mineiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs America Mineiro W
1:1
Oct 19, 2024 Mineiro Women
America Mineiro W vs Atletico-MG W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-MG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Thalita
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

America Mineiro W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafa Levis
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-MG W 58 / 100
America Mineiro W 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-MG W America Mineiro W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico-MG W scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

America Mineiro W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Atletico-MG W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-MG W VS America Mineiro W
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cruzeiro W541039:513
2America Mineiro W532024:511
3Atletico-MG W531127:710
4Itabirito W520314:136
5Valadares W510411:233
6Araguari W50052:640