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Atletico-MG W vs Bahia W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Arena Gregorão, Contagem
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico-MG W host Bahia W in the Brasileiro Women. This has Bahia W written all over it on paper. Atletico-MG W have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Bahia W's 1.5 scored and 0.88 conceded. Head-to-head, Atletico-MG W have won 0 to Bahia W's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 16, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Bahia W to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Atletico-MG W
39%
Draws
30%
Bahia W
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico-MG W haven't matched Bahia W's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 20%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-MG W Bahia W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 23
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 Copa do Brasil Women
Bahia W vs Atletico-MG W
1:0
Apr 29, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Bahia W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-MG W 32 / 100
Bahia W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-MG W Bahia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico-MG W found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Atletico-MG W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Bahia W has conceded goals in 48% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-MG W VS Bahia W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-MG W

(Home)
25 Jul
Bragantino W
2 : 0
Atletico-MG W
22 Jul
Atletico-MG W
2 : 1
Atletico-PI W
28 May
Atletico-MG W
3 : 1
Vitoria W
24 May
Atletico-MG W
2 : 3
Ferroviaria W
16 May
America Mineiro W
0 : 2
Atletico-MG W
Page 1 of 6

Bahia W

(Away)
27 Jul
Bahia W
2 : 1
Botafogo RJ W
21 Jul
Itabirito W
0 : 1
Bahia W
27 May
Planalto EC W
0 : 1
Bahia W
23 May
Fluminense W
3 : 3
Bahia W
16 May
Bahia W
3 : 0
Internacional W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Corinthians W13101235:1331
2Sao Paulo W1392221:929
3Palmeiras W1384127:1028
4Bahia W1373324:1724
5Internacional W1372414:1023
6Ferroviaria W1365219:1223
7CR Flamengo W1365221:1523
8Cruzeiro W1356224:1621
9Bragantino W1362521:2020
10Gremio W1353519:1418
11Santos W1345413:1517
12Fluminense W1344514:1516
13Atletico-MG W1333714:1812
14EC Juventude W132477:1210
15Mixto W131578:248
16America Mineiro W131396:266
17Vitoria W131399:326
18Botafogo RJ W1312108:265
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)