Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico-MG W vs Bahia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Arena Gregorão, Contagem
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Raquel
18' Event
Raquel
25'
Sub
Nine In: Karen Bender
Out: Nine

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women game between Atletico-MG W and Bahia W finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bahia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Atletico-MG W
20%
Draws
45%
Bahia W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bahia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico-MG W haven't matched Bahia W's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Bahia W taking it.
  • Regular Brasileiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Bahia W here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 23%
Bahia W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-MG W Bahia W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 2.29 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Bahia W
0:3
Sep 16, 2025 Copa do Brasil Women
Bahia W vs Atletico-MG W
1:0
Apr 29, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Bahia W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-MG W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Bahia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Raquel
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rosario R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-MG W 16 / 100
Bahia W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-MG W Bahia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bahia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico-MG W scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Bahia W has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Atletico-MG W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-MG W VS Bahia W
2.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-MG W

(Home)
10 Oct
Atletico-MG W
3 : 4
Cruzeiro W
02 Oct
Araguari W
0 : 11
Atletico-MG W
26 Sept
Atletico-MG W
3 : 0
Democrata GV W
12 Sept
America Mineiro W
1 : 3
Atletico-MG W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
Page 1 of 6

Bahia W

(Away)
10 Oct
Bahia W
5 : 0
Jacuipense W
07 Oct
Bahia W
2 : 2
Jacobina W
03 Oct
Barcelona FC W
1 : 11
Bahia W
30 Sept
Bahia W
3 : 0
Porto-BA W
24 Sept
Bahia W
7 : 2
Botafogo BA W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo W 17 13 2 2 31:11 41
2 Corinthians W 17 12 2 3 42:18 38
3 Palmeiras W 17 10 6 1 32:11 36
4 Ferroviaria W 17 8 7 2 23:14 31
5 CR Flamengo W 17 8 6 3 29:20 30
6 Bahia W 17 8 5 4 30:21 29
7 Cruzeiro W 17 7 7 3 30:19 28
8 Gremio W 17 8 3 6 23:16 27
9 Internacional W 17 8 3 6 21:17 27
10 Bragantino W 17 8 2 7 30:26 26
11 Fluminense W 17 7 5 5 23:19 26
12 Santos W 17 6 5 6 22:23 23
13 Atletico-MG W 17 4 4 9 17:25 16
14 Mixto W 17 2 6 9 10:27 12
15 EC Juventude W 17 2 5 10 9:22 11
16 America Mineiro W 17 1 4 12 9:34 7
17 Vitoria W 17 1 4 12 15:45 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 17 1 2 14 10:38 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)