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Atletico-MG W vs Cruzeiro W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Women
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
2 - 2
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
21' Event
23' Event

AI Match Summary

Atletico-MG W host Cruzeiro W in the Mineiro Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Cruzeiro W have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Atletico-MG W have conceded 1.21 and scored 2.76. Past meetings favor Cruzeiro W slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back Cruzeiro W to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atletico-MG W
20%
Draws
40%
Cruzeiro W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cruzeiro W come out ahead of Atletico-MG W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cruzeiro W's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cruzeiro W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 20%
Cruzeiro W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-MG W Cruzeiro W
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 16
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 2.76 4.22
Goals Conceded 1.21 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Atletico-MG W
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 Mineiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Atletico-MG W
4:3
Nov 2, 2024 Mineiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Cruzeiro W
0:4
Apr 21, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Cruzeiro W
0:4
Nov 19, 2023 Mineiro Women
Cruzeiro W vs Atletico-MG W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-MG W 28 / 100
Cruzeiro W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-MG W Cruzeiro W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cruzeiro W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Atletico-MG W found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Atletico-MG W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cruzeiro W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-MG W VS Cruzeiro W
2.5 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-MG W

(Home)
02 Oct
Araguari W
0 : 11
Atletico-MG W
26 Sept
Atletico-MG W
3 : 0
Democrata GV W
12 Sept
America Mineiro W
1 : 3
Atletico-MG W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
22 Aug
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Atletico-MG W
Page 1 of 6

Cruzeiro W

(Away)
03 Oct
Cruzeiro W
1 : 0
America Mineiro W
27 Sept
Cruzeiro W
16 : 0
Araguari W
23 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 3
Cruzeiro W
19 Sept
Democrata GV W
0 : 4
Cruzeiro W
07 Sept
Corinthians W
3 : 1
Cruzeiro W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 5 4 1 0 33:3 13
2 Itabirito W 5 3 2 0 22:6 11
3 Atletico-MG W 4 3 1 0 17:1 10
4 America Mineiro W 5 2 0 3 15:8 6
5 Democrata GV W 5 2 0 3 9:15 6
6 Venda Nova FC W 5 0 1 4 2:29 1
7 Araguari W 5 0 1 4 4:40 1
Promotion - Mineiro Women (Play Offs)