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Atletico-MG W vs Democrata GV W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Women
Atletico-MG W Logo

Atletico-MG W

3 - 0
FT
Democrata GV W Logo

Democrata GV W

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bruna Moana
24' Event
Pimenta
73' Event
Anny Maraba
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico-MG W in this Mineiro Women matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico-MG W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Atletico-MG W
15%
Draws
32%
Democrata GV W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico-MG W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico-MG W lately — more wins on the board than Democrata GV W.
  • Model gives Atletico-MG W a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Mineiro Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 20%
Democrata GV W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-MG W Democrata GV W
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 13 2
Draws 6 0
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 2.76 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.21 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Mineiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Democrata GV W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico-MG W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bruna Moana
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pimenta
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Democrata GV W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-MG W 85 / 100
Democrata GV W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-MG W Democrata GV W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-MG W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Democrata GV W conceded in 80% of 5 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Atletico-MG W scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Atletico-MG W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-MG W VS Democrata GV W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-MG W

(Home)
02 Oct
Araguari W
0 : 11
Atletico-MG W
26 Sept
Atletico-MG W
3 : 0
Democrata GV W
12 Sept
America Mineiro W
1 : 3
Atletico-MG W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
22 Aug
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Atletico-MG W
Page 1 of 6

Democrata GV W

(Away)
08 Oct
Democrata GV W
4 : 0
Venda Nova FC W
26 Sept
Atletico-MG W
3 : 0
Democrata GV W
19 Sept
Democrata GV W
0 : 4
Cruzeiro W
11 Sept
Araguari W
2 : 5
Democrata GV W
05 Sept
Democrata GV W
0 : 6
America Mineiro W

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 6 5 1 0 37:6 16
2 Itabirito W 5 3 2 0 22:6 11
3 Atletico-MG W 5 3 1 1 20:5 10
4 America Mineiro W 5 2 0 3 15:8 6
5 Democrata GV W 5 2 0 3 9:15 6
6 Venda Nova FC W 5 0 1 4 2:29 1
7 Araguari W 5 0 1 4 4:40 1
Promotion - Mineiro Women (Play Offs)