Sport Picks
Atletico-MG W vs Ferroviaria W
Brazil
Brasileiro Women Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes, Nova Lima 
Match Events
5'
5'
Talita H.
19'
19'
Thayslane
37'
37'
Maressa
AI Match Summary
The Brasileiro Women game between Atletico-MG W and Ferroviaria W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviaria W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico-MG W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Ferroviaria W carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Ferroviaria W have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 68%
Ferroviaria W Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico-MG W | Ferroviaria W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 24, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Ferroviaria W
2:3
Aug 17, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Ferroviaria W vs Atletico-MG W
3:2
Feb 27, 2023 Brasileiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Ferroviaria W
2:4
Aug 3, 2022 Brasileiro Women
Ferroviaria W vs Atletico-MG W
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico-MG W Compare
Top Goalscorer Pimenta
1 Goals Assists Leader Isadora Freitas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Ferroviaria W Compare
Top Goalscorer Thayslane
1 Goals Assists Leader Sirlayne (Sissi) R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico-MG W 41 / 100
Ferroviaria W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico-MG W Ferroviaria W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atletico-MG W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.75 goals.
Atletico-MG W's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Solid form: Atletico-MG W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Ferroviaria W conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico-MG W VS Ferroviaria W
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico-MG W
(Home) 26 Sept
Atletico-MG W
3 : 0 Democrata GV W
12 Sept
America Mineiro W
1 : 3 Atletico-MG W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0 Itabirito W
22 Aug
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1 Atletico-MG W
15 Aug
Atletico-MG W
2 : 0 Gremio W
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Atletico-MG W
3 : 0 Democrata GV W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0 Itabirito W
15 Aug
Atletico-MG W
2 : 0 Gremio W
08 Aug
Atletico-MG W
0 : 3 Bahia W
22 Jul
Atletico-MG W
2 : 1 Atletico-PI W
Page 1 of 3
Ferroviaria W
(Away) 05 Sept
Ferroviaria W
2 : 2 CR Flamengo W
29 Aug
CR Flamengo W
1 : 0 Ferroviaria W
26 Aug
Ferroviaria W
3 : 0 Sao Paulo W
22 Aug
Ferroviaria W
1 : 1 Fluminense W
15 Aug
Internacional W
1 : 2 Ferroviaria W
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
CR Flamengo W
1 : 0 Ferroviaria W
15 Aug
Internacional W
1 : 2 Ferroviaria W
12 Aug
Bragantino W
0 : 0 Ferroviaria W
26 Jul
EC Juventude W
0 : 0 Ferroviaria W
17 Jul
Corinthians W
1 : 0 Ferroviaria W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Paulo W | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 31:11 | 41 |
| 2 | Corinthians W | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 42:18 | 38 |
| 3 | Palmeiras W | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 32:11 | 36 |
| 4 | Ferroviaria W | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 5 | CR Flamengo W | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Bahia W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30:21 | 29 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro W | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 8 | Gremio W | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 9 | Internacional W | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:17 | 27 |
| 10 | Bragantino W | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 30:26 | 26 |
| 11 | Fluminense W | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:19 | 26 |
| 12 | Santos W | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 22:23 | 23 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17:25 | 16 |
| 14 | Mixto W | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 10:27 | 12 |
| 15 | EC Juventude W | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9:22 | 11 |
| 16 | America Mineiro W | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9:34 | 7 |
| 17 | Vitoria W | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15:45 | 7 |
| 18 | Botafogo RJ W | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10:38 | 5 |
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)
