Sport Picks
Atletico-MG W vs Fluminense W
Brazil
Brasileiro Women Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes, Nova Lima 
Match Events
18'
18'
Sochor
43'
43'
Nine
56'
56'
Ramos C.
AI Match Summary
The Brasileiro Women game between Atletico-MG W and Fluminense W finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fluminense W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Atletico-MG W haven't matched Fluminense W's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 23%
Fluminense W Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico-MG W | Fluminense W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 0.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Fluminense W
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 Brasileiro Women
Fluminense W vs Atletico-MG W
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico-MG W Compare
Top Goalscorer Nine
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Fluminense W Compare
Top Goalscorer Duarte K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico-MG W 33 / 100
Fluminense W 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico-MG W Fluminense W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fluminense W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico-MG W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Fluminense W let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.
Atletico-MG W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Atletico-MG W VS Fluminense W
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico-MG W
(Home) 12 Sept
America Mineiro W
1 : 3 Atletico-MG W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0 Itabirito W
22 Aug
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1 Atletico-MG W
15 Aug
Atletico-MG W
2 : 0 Gremio W
08 Aug
Atletico-MG W
0 : 3 Bahia W
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0 Itabirito W
15 Aug
Atletico-MG W
2 : 0 Gremio W
08 Aug
Atletico-MG W
0 : 3 Bahia W
22 Jul
Atletico-MG W
2 : 1 Atletico-PI W
28 May
Atletico-MG W
3 : 1 Vitoria W
Page 1 of 3
Fluminense W
(Away) 22 Aug
Ferroviaria W
1 : 1 Fluminense W
15 Aug
Fluminense W
4 : 1 America Mineiro W
10 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 2 Fluminense W
01 Aug
Fluminense W
2 : 1 Bragantino W
24 Jul
Internacional W
1 : 0 Fluminense W
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Ferroviaria W
1 : 1 Fluminense W
10 Aug
Botafogo RJ W
1 : 2 Fluminense W
24 Jul
Internacional W
1 : 0 Fluminense W
16 May
CR Flamengo W
1 : 0 Fluminense W
01 May
Atletico-MG W
1 : 1 Fluminense W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao Paulo W | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 31:11 | 41 |
| 2 | Corinthians W | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 42:18 | 38 |
| 3 | Palmeiras W | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 32:11 | 36 |
| 4 | Ferroviaria W | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 5 | CR Flamengo W | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29:20 | 30 |
| 6 | Bahia W | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 30:21 | 29 |
| 7 | Cruzeiro W | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 30:19 | 28 |
| 8 | Gremio W | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 9 | Internacional W | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:17 | 27 |
| 10 | Bragantino W | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 30:26 | 26 |
| 11 | Fluminense W | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23:19 | 26 |
| 12 | Santos W | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 22:23 | 23 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17:25 | 16 |
| 14 | Mixto W | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 10:27 | 12 |
| 15 | EC Juventude W | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9:22 | 11 |
| 16 | America Mineiro W | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 9:34 | 7 |
| 17 | Vitoria W | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 15:45 | 7 |
| 18 | Botafogo RJ W | 17 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10:38 | 5 |
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)
