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Atletico-MG W vs Itabirito W

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Mineiro Women
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AI Match Summary

The Mineiro Women game between Atletico-MG W and Itabirito W finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atletico-MG W
20%
Draws
40%
Itabirito W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Itabirito W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Itabirito W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Atletico-MG W Clean Sheet 23%
Itabirito W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico-MG W Itabirito W
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 14 22
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 2.81 2.44
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Mineiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Itabirito W
0:0
Sep 28, 2025 Mineiro Women
Itabirito W vs Atletico-MG W
2:4
Oct 13, 2024 Mineiro Women
Atletico-MG W vs Itabirito W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico-MG W 16 / 100
Itabirito W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico-MG W Itabirito W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabirito W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico-MG W's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

Atletico-MG W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Itabirito W has conceded goals in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico-MG W VS Itabirito W
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico-MG W

(Home)
02 Oct
Araguari W
0 : 11
Atletico-MG W
26 Sept
Atletico-MG W
3 : 0
Democrata GV W
12 Sept
America Mineiro W
1 : 3
Atletico-MG W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
22 Aug
CR Flamengo W
4 : 1
Atletico-MG W
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Itabirito W

(Away)
04 Oct
Venda Nova FC W
0 : 9
Itabirito W
30 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 2
America Mineiro W
23 Sept
Itabirito W
3 : 3
Cruzeiro W
20 Sept
Vasco W
1 : 2
Itabirito W
13 Sept
Itabirito W
1 : 3
Vasco W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro W 5 4 1 0 33:3 13
2 Atletico-MG W 4 3 1 0 17:1 10
3 Itabirito W 4 2 2 0 15:5 8
4 America Mineiro W 5 2 0 3 15:8 6
5 Democrata GV W 4 1 0 3 5:15 3
6 Venda Nova FC W 4 0 1 3 2:25 1
7 Araguari W 4 0 1 3 3:33 1
Promotion - Mineiro Women (Play Offs)