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Atletico Monzon vs Calamocha

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Bernardez P.
53' Event
Ouakkati Y.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 game between Atletico Monzon and Calamocha finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Monzon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Atletico Monzon
15%
Draws
45%
Calamocha
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Calamocha

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Monzon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Calamocha are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Atletico Monzon Clean Sheet 26%
Calamocha Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Monzon Calamocha
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 18
Draws 2 5
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 2.04 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.18 0.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Monzon vs Calamocha
2:0
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Atletico Monzon
0:0
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Calamocha vs Atletico Monzon
2:2
Nov 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Monzon vs Calamocha
1:1
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Monzon vs Calamocha
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Monzon Compare

Top Goalscorer Bernardez P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ouakkati Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Calamocha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Monzon 25 / 100
Calamocha 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Monzon Calamocha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calamocha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Monzon's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Atletico Monzon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Calamocha conceded in 39% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Monzon VS Calamocha
2 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.13
63% Over 1.5 13%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Monzon

(Home)
06 Sept
CD Caspe
3 : 0
Atletico Monzon
07 Jun
CD Cuarte
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
30 May
Atletico Monzon
0 : 2
CD Cuarte
24 May
Atletico Monzon
1 : 0
Epila
16 May
Epila
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
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Calamocha

(Away)
06 Sept
Calamocha
0 : 1
Terrassa
10 May
CD Carinena
0 : 1
Calamocha
03 May
Calamocha
2 : 0
Robres
26 Apr
Calamocha
1 : 0
Huesca B
19 Apr
CD Cuarte
0 : 0
Calamocha
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)