Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Monzon vs Utrillas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026
Atletico Monzon Logo

Atletico Monzon

4 - 0
FT
Utrillas Logo

Utrillas

Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Ouakkati Y.
43' Event
Bernardez P.
69' Event
Ouakkati Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Monzon in this Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Monzon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Atletico Monzon
30%
Draws
29%
Utrillas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico Monzon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Monzon have won more games recently than Utrillas.
  • Atletico Monzon are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Atletico Monzon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Atletico Monzon Clean Sheet 20%
Utrillas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Monzon Utrillas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 21 5
Draws 3 12
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 2.03 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Monzon vs Utrillas
4:0
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Atletico Monzon
1:2
Mar 30, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Monzon vs Utrillas
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Atletico Monzon
1:1
Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Utrillas vs Atletico Monzon
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Monzon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouakkati Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bernardez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.21

Utrillas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Monzon 40 / 100
Utrillas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Monzon Utrillas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Monzon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Monzon found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Utrillas conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Atletico Monzon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Monzon VS Utrillas
2.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.33
63% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Monzon

(Home)
20 Sept
Atletico Monzon
0 : 0
Fraga
13 Sept
Atletico Monzon
4 : 3
Robres
06 Sept
CD Caspe
3 : 0
Atletico Monzon
07 Jun
CD Cuarte
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
30 May
Atletico Monzon
0 : 2
CD Cuarte
Page 1 of 7

Utrillas

(Away)
10 May
Utrillas
1 : 2
CD Caspe
03 May
Binefar
5 : 0
Utrillas
26 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
UD Casetas
19 Apr
Zuera
0 : 2
Utrillas
12 Apr
Utrillas
3 : 3
La Almunia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Calamocha 34 23 6 5 49:22 75
2 CD Cuarte 34 20 14 0 43:12 74
3 Atletico Monzon 34 23 4 7 73:37 73
4 Epila 34 19 10 5 39:20 67
5 CD Caspe 34 13 14 7 38:26 53
6 Huesca B 34 14 10 10 52:33 52
7 Binefar 34 14 6 14 58:47 48
8 La Almunia 34 11 14 9 42:38 47
9 Almudevar 34 12 8 14 34:39 44
10 Tamarite 34 10 11 13 41:47 41
11 Andorra CF 34 10 9 15 35:45 39
12 CF Illueca 34 9 11 14 35:51 38
13 Robres 34 10 6 18 38:49 36
14 CD Belchite 97 34 7 11 16 28:43 32
15 CD Carinena 34 5 16 13 35:46 31
16 UD Casetas 34 6 12 16 40:56 30
17 Utrillas 34 5 14 15 36:57 29
18 Zuera 34 2 10 22 17:65 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2025/2026 (Play Offs)