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Atletico Monzon vs Valdefierro

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Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 game between Atletico Monzon and Valdefierro finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Monzon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Atletico Monzon
15%
Draws
34%
Valdefierro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Monzon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Monzon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Atletico Monzon a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Atletico Monzon here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Atletico Monzon Clean Sheet 68%
Valdefierro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Monzon Valdefierro
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 28 7
Draws 2 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 2.19 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Monzon vs Valdefierro
3:0
Jan 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Atletico Monzon
1:2
Jan 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Valdefierro vs Atletico Monzon
2:0
Sep 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Monzon vs Valdefierro
1:0
Mar 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Atletico Monzon vs Valdefierro
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Monzon 59 / 100
Valdefierro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Monzon Valdefierro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Monzon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Monzon's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Valdefierro let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Atletico Monzon went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Monzon VS -
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Monzon

(Home)
13 Sept
Atletico Monzon
4 : 3
Robres
06 Sept
CD Caspe
3 : 0
Atletico Monzon
07 Jun
CD Cuarte
0 : 1
Atletico Monzon
30 May
Atletico Monzon
0 : 2
CD Cuarte
24 May
Atletico Monzon
1 : 0
Epila
Page 1 of 8

Valdefierro

(Away)
13 Jun
Valdefierro
3 : 1
Sabinanigo
06 Jun
Sarinena
5 : 0
Valdefierro
30 May
Valdefierro
3 : 2
Villanueva CF
23 May
Epila
1 : 0
Valdefierro
16 May
Valdefierro
0 : 1
Almudevar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teruel 22 15 4 3 34:11 49
2 Huesca B 22 13 6 3 36:18 45
3 CD Belchite 97 22 8 11 3 22:9 35
4 Zaragoza B 22 8 10 4 32:14 34
5 CF Illueca 22 9 7 6 23:16 34
6 Binefar 22 8 8 6 29:17 32
7 Atletico Monzon 22 7 10 5 26:19 31
8 CD Carinena 22 7 6 9 21:23 27
9 Tamarite 22 6 7 9 19:29 25
10 Valdefierro 22 6 4 12 20:36 22
11 Fraga 22 5 7 10 17:21 22
12 San Juan Zaragoza 22 0 0 22 0:66 0
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brea 22 12 6 4 34:12 42
2 CD Cuarte 22 11 6 5 32:21 39
3 Utebo FC 22 9 10 3 21:15 37
4 UD Barbastro 22 9 9 4 27:18 36
5 Borja 22 8 7 7 29:23 31
6 Calamocha 22 7 9 6 24:19 30
7 Sarinena 22 8 5 9 36:36 29
8 Epila 22 5 11 6 23:23 26
9 Robres 22 6 8 8 23:31 26
10 Almudevar 22 4 10 8 17:32 22
11 Villanueva CF 22 4 6 12 16:39 18
12 Sabinanigo 22 3 5 14 24:37 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 17 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)