Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico MT vs Paulistano FC

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico MT play Paulistano FC in the Matogrossense 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico MT averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.75 conceded. Paulistano FC averaged 0.13 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico MT won 0, Paulistano FC won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 27, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Atletico MT and 1.44 for Paulistano FC. This points to a Paulistano FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atletico MT
6%
Draws
90%
Paulistano FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Paulistano FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico MT demonstrates higher offensive output (0.5 avg goals) than Paulistano FC (0.13 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Paulistano FC.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Matogrossense 2 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Atletico MT Clean Sheet 16%
Paulistano FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico MT Paulistano FC
Matches Played 12 5
Wins 0 0
Draws 2 2
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 0.5 0.13
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Atletico MT vs Paulistano FC
0:0
Apr 29, 2024 Matogrossense 2
Atletico MT vs Paulistano FC
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico MT 10 / 100
Paulistano FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico MT Paulistano FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico MT scored in 42% of their last 12 games.

Paulistano FC let in goals in 60% of their last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Atletico MT went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Paulistano FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico MT VS Paulistano FC
0.5 Goals Scored 0.13
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sinop FC43108:210
2Sorriso EC421112:37
3Santa Cruz MT41303:16
4Gremio Sorriso41124:44
5Campo Novo40041:180
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uirapuru431015:410
2Acao42208:68
3Cacerense41125:44
4Paulistano FC40221:62
5Atletico MT40223:122