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Atletico MT vs Uirapuru

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Matogrossense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uirapuru in this Matogrossense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uirapuru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atletico MT
6%
Draws
90%
Uirapuru
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Uirapuru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico MT haven't matched Uirapuru's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Uirapuru taking it.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 91%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 91%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Atletico MT Clean Sheet 10%
Uirapuru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico MT Uirapuru
Matches Played 12 10
Wins 0 5
Draws 2 1
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 0.75 2.75
Goals Conceded 3 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Atletico MT vs Uirapuru
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico MT 10 / 100
Uirapuru 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico MT Uirapuru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UIR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uirapuru has conceded goals in 90% of their last 10 outings.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Atletico MT found the back of the net in 42% of recent matches (12 games).

Recent resilience: Atletico MT stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico MT VS Uirapuru
0.75 Goals Scored 2.75
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico MT

(Home)
17 May
Atletico MT
1 : 7
Uirapuru
09 May
Cacerense
3 : 0
Atletico MT
27 Apr
Atletico MT
0 : 0
Paulistano FC
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2
Atletico MT
06 Jul
Santa Cruz MT
3 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 3

Uirapuru

(Away)
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
24 May
Cacerense
1 : 2
Uirapuru
17 May
Atletico MT
1 : 7
Uirapuru
02 May
Uirapuru
2 : 2
Acao
25 Apr
Uirapuru
2 : 1
Cacerense
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sinop FC43108:210
2Sorriso EC421112:37
3Santa Cruz MT41303:16
4Gremio Sorriso41124:44
5Campo Novo40041:180
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Uirapuru431015:410
2Acao42208:68
3Cacerense41125:44
4Paulistano FC40221:62
5Atletico MT40223:122
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)