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Atletico MT vs Uirapuru

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Matogrossense 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uirapuru in this Matogrossense 2 matchup, with the score ending 1-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uirapuru.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Atletico MT
30%
Draws
47%
Uirapuru
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uirapuru

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico MT haven't matched Uirapuru's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Uirapuru taking it.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Atletico MT Clean Sheet 10%
Uirapuru Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico MT Uirapuru
Matches Played 12 13
Wins 0 5
Draws 2 2
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 0.58 2.15
Goals Conceded 3.08 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 3.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Matogrossense 2
Atletico MT vs Uirapuru
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico MT 10 / 100
Uirapuru 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico MT Uirapuru

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uirapuru Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uirapuru has conceded goals in 92% of their last 13 outings.

H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Uirapuru has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Atletico MT's goal record stands at 42% scoring rate across 12 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico MT VS Uirapuru
0.71 Goals Scored 3
3.29 Goals Conceded 2
86% Over 1.5 100%
86% Over 2.5 100%
57% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico MT

(Home)
17 May
Atletico MT
1 : 7
Uirapuru
09 May
Cacerense
3 : 0
Atletico MT
27 Apr
Atletico MT
0 : 0
Paulistano FC
20 Apr
Acao
2 : 2
Atletico MT
06 Jul
Santa Cruz MT
3 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 3

Uirapuru

(Away)
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
19 Sept
Uirapuru
2 : 3
Santa Cruz MT
16 Sept
Chapada
1 : 1
Uirapuru
30 May
Uirapuru
0 : 2
Cacerense
24 May
Cacerense
1 : 2
Uirapuru
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sinop FC 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 Sorriso EC 4 2 1 1 12:3 7
3 Santa Cruz MT 4 1 3 0 3:1 6
4 Gremio Sorriso 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
5 Campo Novo 4 0 0 4 1:18 0
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uirapuru 4 3 1 0 15:4 10
2 Acao 4 2 2 0 8:6 8
3 Cacerense 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
4 Paulistano FC 4 0 2 2 1:6 2
5 Atletico MT 4 0 2 2 3:12 2
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2 (Play Offs)