Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec

Canada Canada

Championship TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON
Tue, Aug 11, 2026
VS
11:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Championship. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Supra du Quebec have shipped 2.13 goals a game lately, while Atletico Ottawa have conceded 1.88 and scored 1.88. Head-to-head, Atletico Ottawa have won 2 to Supra du Quebec's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jul 8, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (2.00 - 1.75) back Atletico Ottawa to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Atletico Ottawa
20%
Draws
38%
Supra du Quebec
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Ottawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Ottawa lately — more wins on the board than Supra du Quebec.
  • Win probability leans Atletico Ottawa's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Atletico Ottawa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico Ottawa, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atletico Ottawa have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 12%
Supra du Quebec Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ottawa Supra du Quebec
Matches Played 32 14
Wins 15 6
Draws 9 2
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2026 Championship
Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa
3:1
Jun 9, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Supra du Quebec
5:3
Apr 19, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Atletico Ottawa
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ottawa 40 / 100
Supra du Quebec 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ottawa Supra du Quebec

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Atletico Ottawa scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Supra du Quebec let in goals in 100% of their last 14 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Solid form: Atletico Ottawa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Ottawa VS Supra du Quebec
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Ottawa

(Home)
26 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Pacific FC
17 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
1 : 1
Inter Toronto
08 Jul
Supra du Quebec
3 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
04 Jul
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 3
Cavalry
01 Jul
HFX Wanderers
1 : 3
Atletico Ottawa
Page 1 of 7

Supra du Quebec

(Away)
24 Jul
HFX Wanderers
2 : 3
Supra du Quebec
17 Jul
Supra du Quebec
1 : 5
Vancouver FC
08 Jul
Supra du Quebec
3 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
05 Jul
Supra du Quebec
1 : 2
Forge FC
09 Jun
Atletico Ottawa
5 : 3
Supra du Quebec
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
TBD-
Pacific FC1
Cavalry3
CF Montreal5
Calgary Blizzard SC0
Vancouver FC2
Langley United SA0
Forge FC4
HFX Wanderers0
Inter Toronto0
CS Saint-Laurent1
Toronto FC1
Atletico Ottawa3
Supra du Quebec3
Woodbridge Strikers1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps5
Cavalry2
CF Montreal4
Vancouver FC2
Forge FC3
CS Saint-Laurent2
Atletico Ottawa1
Supra du Quebec3
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps-
CF Montreal-
Forge FC-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-