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Atletico Ottawa vs Forge FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Ottawa host Forge FC in the Canadian Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Forge FC have shipped 0.77 goals a game lately, while Atletico Ottawa have conceded 1.71 and scored 1.61. Head-to-head, Atletico Ottawa have won 2 to Forge FC's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.44, favoring Forge FC. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Atletico Ottawa
35%
Draws
37%
Forge FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Forge FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Atletico Ottawa haven't matched Forge FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Forge FC's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 16%
Forge FC Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ottawa Forge FC
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 18
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.61 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Atletico Ottawa
3:0
May 24, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Forge FC
2:1
Apr 4, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Atletico Ottawa
2:0
Oct 26, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Atletico Ottawa
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Forge FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ottawa 23 / 100
Forge FC 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ottawa Forge FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forge FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ottawa scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Atletico Ottawa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Forge FC conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Ottawa VS Forge FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Ottawa

(Home)
30 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Cavalry
26 Sept
HFX Wanderers
0 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
12 Sept
Forge FC
3 : 0
Atletico Ottawa
05 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 0
Pacific FC
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Forge FC

(Away)
07 Oct
Forge FC
3 : 0
Pacific FC
03 Oct
Forge FC
3 : 3
HFX Wanderers
26 Sept
Vancouver FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 25 15 6 4 41:20 51
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 25 9 6 10 35:33 33
5 Supra du Quebec 25 9 4 12 38:45 31
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 25 6 9 10 40:56 27
8 Pacific FC 25 2 8 15 30:55 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)