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Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League TD Place Stadium, Ottawa, ON
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Assi J.
Assist: Fleuriau Chateau N.
29'
Sub
Polisi M. In: Ouattara A.
Out: Polisi M.
39'
Mezquida N.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League game between Atletico Ottawa and Vancouver FC finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Ottawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Atletico Ottawa
35%
Draws
24%
Vancouver FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Atletico Ottawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Ottawa come out ahead of Vancouver FC on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Ottawa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Atletico Ottawa Clean Sheet 20%
Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Ottawa Vancouver FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.61 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC
4:0
Aug 1, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa
3:1
Jun 6, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Atletico Ottawa
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC
1:1
Oct 12, 2025 Canadian Premier League
Atletico Ottawa vs Vancouver FC
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Ottawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Assi J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fleuriau Chateau N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Vancouver FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Ottawa 36 / 100
Vancouver FC 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Ottawa Vancouver FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Ottawa's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Vancouver FC let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Atletico Ottawa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Ottawa VS Vancouver FC
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Ottawa

(Home)
30 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Cavalry
26 Sept
HFX Wanderers
0 : 1
Atletico Ottawa
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
12 Sept
Forge FC
3 : 0
Atletico Ottawa
05 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 0
Pacific FC
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Vancouver FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Supra du Quebec
2 : 2
Vancouver FC
26 Sept
Vancouver FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
24 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 3
Inter Toronto
20 Sept
Pacific FC
1 : 1
Vancouver FC
13 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Vancouver FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 25 15 6 4 41:20 51
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 26 9 7 10 37:35 34
5 Supra du Quebec 26 9 5 12 40:47 32
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 25 6 9 10 40:56 27
8 Pacific FC 25 2 8 15 30:55 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)