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Atletico Pantoja vs Moca Prediction & H2H Stats

Dominican Republic Dominican Republic

LDF 2025/2026
Atletico Pantoja Logo

Atletico Pantoja

3 - 0
FT
Moca Logo

Moca

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Lavergne G.
36'
de Pena G.
36'
de Pena G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The LDF 2025/2026 game between Atletico Pantoja and Moca finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Pantoja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Atletico Pantoja
20%
Draws
57%
Moca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Moca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Pantoja carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Moca are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular LDF 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Atletico Pantoja Clean Sheet 26%
Moca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Pantoja Moca
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 15 8
Draws 9 12
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.72 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.01 0.82
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 LDF
Atletico Pantoja vs Moca
3:0
Feb 28, 2026 LDF
Moca vs Atletico Pantoja
2:2
Jan 24, 2026 LDF
Atletico Pantoja vs Moca
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 LDF
Atletico Pantoja vs Moca
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 LDF
Moca vs Atletico Pantoja
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Pantoja Compare

Top Goalscorer Lavergne G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Louka B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Moca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Pantoja 30 / 100
Moca 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Pantoja Moca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Pantoja scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Moca has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Atletico Pantoja has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Pantoja VS Moca
1.14 Goals Scored 0.5
1.14 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 38%
43% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Pantoja

(Home)
10 May
Cibao
1 : 1
Atletico Pantoja
02 May
Atletico Pantoja
0 : 1
Cibao
25 Apr
Atletico Pantoja
0 : 1
Cibao
18 Apr
Salcedo
2 : 0
Atletico Pantoja
11 Apr
Atletico Pantoja
3 : 0
Moca
Page 1 of 7

Moca

(Away)
26 Sept
Vega Real
1 : 0
Moca
23 Sept
Moca
1 : 1
Delfines Del Este
19 Sept
Atlantico FC
2 : 3
Moca
13 Sept
Moca
2 : 1
Cibao
06 Sept
Don Bosco Jarabacoa
0 : 1
Moca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cibao 15 8 6 1 22:11 30
2 Delfines Del Este 15 7 5 3 19:12 26
3 Salcedo 15 6 5 4 20:17 23
4 Atletico Pantoja 15 4 7 4 22:18 19
5 Moca 15 3 5 7 12:19 14
6 Universidad O&M 15 1 4 10 16:34 7
Promotion - LDF 2025/2026 (Play Offs)