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Atletico Paraense vs Carajas

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2
Atletico Paraense Logo

Atletico Paraense

0 - 2
FT
Carajas Logo

Carajas

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paraense A2 game between Atletico Paraense and Carajas finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carajas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Atletico Paraense
30%
Draws
29%
Carajas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico Paraense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atletico Paraense come out ahead of Carajas on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Atletico Paraense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Atletico Paraense Clean Sheet 20%
Carajas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Paraense Carajas
Matches Played 13 24
Wins 10 4
Draws 1 9
Losses 2 11
Goals Scored 2.15 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Paraense A2
Atletico Paraense vs Carajas
0:2
Apr 25, 2026 Paraense A2
Carajas vs Atletico Paraense
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Paraense 36 / 100
Carajas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Paraense Carajas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Paraense's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Carajas let in goals in 75% of their last 24 matches.

Atletico Paraense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Paraense VS Carajas
3.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Paraense

(Home)
23 May
Itupiranga
4 : 1
Atletico Paraense
16 May
Atletico Paraense
0 : 2
Carajas
02 May
Atletico Paraense
1 : 0
Itupiranga
25 Apr
Carajas
0 : 0
Atletico Paraense
25 Nov
Atletico Paraense
1 : 0
Santos PA
Page 1 of 3

Carajas

(Away)
10 Jun
Carajas
0 : 1
Izabelense
05 Jun
Izabelense
2 : 1
Carajas
30 May
Carajas
0 : 0
Itupiranga
16 May
Atletico Paraense
0 : 2
Carajas
09 May
Itupiranga
1 : 1
Carajas
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caete 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
2 Santos PA 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
3 Canaa 4 0 4 0 4:4 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Urumajo 4 3 0 1 7:4 9
2 Paragominas 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 Marajo 4 0 1 3 2:11 1
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Izabelense 4 1 1 2 6:7 4
3 Uniao Paraense 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carajas 4 1 3 0 3:1 6
2 Itupiranga 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
3 Atletico Paraense 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
Promotion - Paraense A2 (Play Offs)