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Atletico Paso vs Atl. Madrid C

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Ortega G. T.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 game between Atletico Paso and Atl. Madrid C finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atl. Madrid C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Atletico Paso
30%
Draws
54%
Atl. Madrid C
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atl. Madrid C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Atl. Madrid C come out ahead of Atletico Paso on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 16%
Atl. Madrid C Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Paso Atl. Madrid C
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 13 9
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.31 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Atletico Paso vs Atl. Madrid C
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Paso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Atl. Madrid C Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortega G. T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Paso 36 / 100
Atl. Madrid C 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Paso Atl. Madrid C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Madrid C Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atl. Madrid C has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Paso scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Atletico Paso has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Paso VS Atl. Madrid C
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Paso

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0
Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2
Numancia
07 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 0
Atletico Paso
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 6

Atl. Madrid C

(Away)
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
05 Sept
Atl. Madrid C
2 : 1
Real Avila
10 May
Atl. Madrid C
1 : 1
CD Mostoles
03 May
San Sebastian Reyes B
1 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Numancia 4 3 1 0 5:0 10
2 Conquense 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
3 Salamanca CF UDS 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
4 Atl. Madrid C 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
5 San Sebastian Reyes 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
6 Valladolid Promesas 4 2 0 2 8:4 6
7 RSD Alcala 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
8 Gimnastica Segoviana 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
9 Real Avila 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
10 CF Talavera 4 1 2 1 3:5 5
11 Albacete B 4 1 2 1 7:11 5
12 Navalcarnero 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
13 Puertollano C.F. 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
14 Guadalajara 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
15 Getafe B 4 0 2 2 3:5 2
16 Real Madrid C 3 0 2 1 0:2 2
17 Atletico Paso 4 0 2 2 2:5 2
18 Atletico Tordesillas 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)