Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Paso vs Numancia

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gonzalez J.
Penalty Missed
12' Event
Gonzalez J.
55' Event
Bouzaig A.

AI Match Summary

Numancia in this Segunda RFEF - Group 5 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Numancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Atletico Paso
30%
Draws
61%
Numancia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Numancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Atletico Paso average 1.27 goals a game right now, well clear of Numancia's 1.21.
  • Win probability leans Numancia's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Numancia here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 20%
Numancia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Paso Numancia
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 13 10
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 1.27 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Atletico Paso vs Numancia
0:2
Feb 4, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Atletico Paso vs Numancia
0:1
Sep 24, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 5
Numancia vs Atletico Paso
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Paso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Numancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bouzaig A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Paso 28 / 100
Numancia 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Paso Numancia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Numancia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Paso found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Numancia has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Atletico Paso stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Paso VS Numancia
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Paso

(Home)
19 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 1
Atl. Madrid C
13 Sept
Puertollano C.F.
0 : 0
Atletico Paso
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2
Numancia
07 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 0
Atletico Paso
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
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Numancia

(Away)
19 Sept
San Sebastian Reyes
0 : 0
Numancia
13 Sept
Numancia
2 : 0
Atl. Madrid C
06 Sept
Atletico Paso
0 : 2
Numancia
26 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1
Utebo FC
22 Aug
Numancia
2 : 1
Zaragoza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Numancia 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
2 San Sebastian Reyes 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
3 Conquense 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
4 RSD Alcala 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
5 Valladolid Promesas 3 2 0 1 7:2 6
6 Salamanca CF UDS 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
7 Atl. Madrid C 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
8 Navalcarnero 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
9 Albacete B 3 1 1 1 5:9 4
10 Guadalajara 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
11 Gimnastica Segoviana 3 1 0 2 6:7 3
12 Real Avila 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
13 Real Madrid C 2 0 2 0 0:0 2
14 Getafe B 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
15 CF Talavera 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
16 Atletico Tordesillas 3 0 1 2 6:9 1
17 Atletico Paso 3 0 1 2 0:3 1
18 Puertollano C.F. 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)