Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Sullivan M.
73'
73'
Cabrera Diaz A.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 game between Atletico Paso and Panaderia finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Atletico Paso come out ahead of Panaderia on wins alone.
- Model gives Atletico Paso a 33% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Atletico Paso Clean Sheet 20%
Panaderia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Paso | Panaderia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 3 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.53 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Atletico Paso
1:1
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Panaderia
1:1
Jun 6, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Panaderia
1:2
May 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Atletico Paso
1:1
Jan 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Atletico Paso vs Panaderia
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Paso Compare
Top Goalscorer Cabrera Diaz A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Panaderia Compare
Top Goalscorer Sullivan M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Atletico Paso 40 / 100
Panaderia 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Atletico Paso Panaderia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ATL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico Paso found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Panaderia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Atletico Paso went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Atletico Paso VS Panaderia
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Atletico Paso
(Home) 07 Aug
Algeciras
1 : 0 Atletico Paso
10 May
Herbania
1 : 1 Atletico Paso
03 May
Atletico Paso
1 : 0 Las Palmas C
25 Apr
Panaderia
1 : 1 Atletico Paso
19 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1 Telde
Page 1 of 6
03 May
Atletico Paso
1 : 0 Las Palmas C
19 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1 Telde
02 Apr
Atletico Paso
1 : 1 Mensajero
24 Mar
Atletico Paso
3 : 0 San Bartolome
08 Mar
Atletico Paso
3 : 0 Arucas
Page 1 of 3
Panaderia
(Away) 24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2 Panaderia
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2 UD San Fernando
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0 Union Sur Yaiza
03 May
San Miguel
1 : 1 Panaderia
25 Apr
Panaderia
1 : 1 Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 6
24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2 Panaderia
03 May
San Miguel
1 : 1 Panaderia
22 Apr
Las Palmas C
1 : 0 Panaderia
19 Apr
SD Tenisca
1 : 1 Panaderia
01 Apr
Tamaraceite
3 : 2 Panaderia
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Paso | 34 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 51:19 | 67 |
| 2 | UD San Fernando | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 49:23 | 66 |
| 3 | Mensajero | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 51:31 | 63 |
| 4 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 56:36 | 63 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:33 | 55 |
| 6 | Las Palmas C | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 58:42 | 54 |
| 7 | Tenerife C | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 8 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 42:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45:36 | 48 |
| 10 | Real Union Tenerife | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 34:32 | 45 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 37:43 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Marino | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 44:40 | 39 |
| 13 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 14 | San Bartolome | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 30:55 | 36 |
| 15 | Arucas | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 31:47 | 33 |
| 16 | Herbania | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39:58 | 32 |
| 17 | SD Tenisca | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 32:68 | 25 |
| 18 | Telde | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 30:71 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
