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Atletico PE vs 1º de Maio

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Pernambucano 2 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atletico PE
6%
Draws
90%
1º de Maio
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: 1º de Maio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • 1º de Maio haven't matched Atletico PE's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans 1º de Maio's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Pernambucano 2 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Atletico PE have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Atletico PE Clean Sheet 11%
1º de Maio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico PE 1º de Maio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.5 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2023 Pernambucano 2
1º de Maio vs Atletico PE
1:2
Nov 2, 2022 Pernambucano 2
1º de Maio vs Atletico PE
1:2
Oct 21, 2021 Pernambucano 2
Atletico PE vs 1º de Maio
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico PE 10 / 100
1º de Maio 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico PE 1º de Maio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1º Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1º de Maio let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: 1º de Maio has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Atletico PE scored in 58% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Atletico PE VS 1º de Maio
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Caruaru31204:35
2America PE31113:34
3Ypiranga30302:23
4Ipojuca30211:22
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrolina33003:09
2Ibis Sport Club32014:26
31º de Maio30121:31
4Atletico PE30122:51