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Atletico PE vs America PE

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Pernambucano 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico PE play America PE in the Campeonato Pernambucano 2017. America PE are favorites here. Recently, Atletico PE averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.85 conceded. America PE averaged 2.26 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico PE won 0, America PE won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 9, 2021 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Atletico PE and 4.00 for America PE. This points to a America PE double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Atletico PE
15%
Draws
60%
America PE
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: America PE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico PE picked up more points recently compared to America PE.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 4.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Atletico PE Clean Sheet 10%
America PE Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico PE America PE
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 10 22
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 6
Goals Scored 1.06 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.33 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2021 Pernambucano 2
Atletico PE vs America PE
0:1
Feb 19, 2017 Pernambucano
Atletico PE vs America PE
1:3
Feb 15, 2017 Pernambucano
America PE vs Atletico PE
1:0
Jan 15, 2017 Pernambucano
Atletico PE vs America PE
0:2
Feb 28, 2015 Pernambucano
America PE vs Atletico PE
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico PE Compare

Top Goalscorer Marlon
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

America PE Compare

Top Goalscorer Rei
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tiago Bagagem
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico PE 25 / 100
America PE 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico PE America PE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick America PE Win (2)
Secondary Pick America PE & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico PE attacking → ← attacking America PE

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico PE scored in 59% of their last 34 games.

America PE let in goals in 65% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Atletico PE went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

America PE lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 72
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.88
5.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63