Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Pinto vs Mostoles CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Pinto in this Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Pinto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Atletico Pinto
15%
Draws
39%
Mostoles CF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Pinto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Atletico Pinto have won more games recently than Mostoles CF.
  • Model gives Atletico Pinto a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Atletico Pinto Clean Sheet 68%
Mostoles CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Pinto Mostoles CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Atletico Pinto vs Mostoles CF
1:0
Nov 29, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Mostoles CF vs Atletico Pinto
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Pinto 77 / 100
Mostoles CF 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Pinto Mostoles CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Pinto Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Pinto scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Mostoles CF let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Atletico Pinto remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Pinto VS Mostoles CF
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Pinto

(Home)
28 Aug
AD Alcala
1 : 2
Atletico Pinto
20 Jun
AD Alcala
0 : 0
Atletico Pinto
16 Jun
Paracuellos Antamira
1 : 3
Atletico Pinto
13 Jun
Atletico Pinto
1 : 2
RSD Alcala
02 Jun
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
4 : 1
Atletico Pinto
Page 1 of 6

Mostoles CF

(Away)
20 Jun
Paracuellos Antamira
3 : 1
Mostoles CF
13 Jun
Mostoles CF
0 : 3
San Fernando de Henares
06 Jun
Villanueva del Pardillo CF
4 : 0
Mostoles CF
27 May
Mostoles CF
2 : 0
Santa Ana
23 May
AD Alcala
0 : 2
Mostoles CF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Adarve 22 13 5 4 41:17 44
2 Moratalaz 22 11 7 4 36:20 40
3 Rayo Vallecano B 22 10 8 4 35:27 38
4 Pozuelo de Alarcon 22 11 5 6 33:20 38
5 Flat Earth FC 22 9 6 7 19:18 33
6 AD Torrejon 22 7 11 4 32:17 32
7 AD Alcala 22 8 6 8 22:22 30
8 RSD Alcala 22 6 10 6 20:16 28
9 Paracuellos Antamira 22 6 8 8 18:27 26
10 Villanueva del Pardillo CF 22 5 4 13 14:28 19
11 San Fernando de Henares 22 4 6 12 18:36 18
12 Santa Ana 22 2 4 16 11:51 10
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leganes B 20 15 5 0 34:12 50
2 CD Mostoles 20 13 5 2 28:11 44
3 Alcorcon B 20 9 7 4 32:15 34
4 Parla 20 7 7 6 20:20 28
5 Carabanchel 20 5 9 6 18:20 24
6 Atletico Pinto 20 7 3 10 20:30 24
7 Trival Valderas 20 5 8 7 15:21 23
8 Villaverde San Andres 20 6 3 11 18:29 21
9 El Alamo 20 3 7 10 24:33 16
10 Mostoles CF 20 3 6 11 15:26 15
11 Real Aranjuez 20 3 6 11 19:32 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 7 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)