Sport Picks

Ecuador

Serie B 2021

Atletico Porteno

4 - 1

Buhos ULVR

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Quinonez J.

40'

Mero E.

42'

Zea W.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Porteno in this Serie B 2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Porteno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Atletico Porteno

Draws

Buhos ULVR

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Atletico Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Atletico Porteno lately — more wins on the board than Buhos ULVR.
Atletico Porteno are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Buhos ULVR here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%

Atletico Porteno Clean Sheet 68%

Buhos ULVR Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Porteno	Buhos ULVR
Matches Played	30	37
Wins	10	7
Draws	4	14
Losses	16	16
Goals Scored	0	1.25
Goals Conceded	0	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2021 Serie B

Buhos ULVR vs Atletico Porteno

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 4 - 3

4:3

Jul 4, 2021 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs Buhos ULVR

Possession: 45% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

4:1

Jun 13, 2021 Serie B

Buhos ULVR vs Atletico Porteno

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Apr 21, 2021 Serie B

Atletico Porteno vs Buhos ULVR

Possession: 47% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Porteno Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinonez J.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Mero E.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Buhos ULVR Compare

Top Goalscorer Zea W.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Porteno 95 / 100

Buhos ULVR 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Porteno Buhos ULVR

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Atletico Porteno found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Buhos ULVR's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 37 matches.

Recent resilience: Atletico Porteno stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Buhos ULVR

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 1.38

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cumbaya	36	20	7	9	47:36	67
2	Gualaceo	36	17	9	10	46:31	60
3	EL Nacional	36	16	11	9	49:36	59
4	Chacaritas	36	12	13	11	35:34	49
5	America de Quito	36	10	17	9	41:33	47
6	Buhos ULVR	36	14	5	17	41:53	47
7	Independiente Juniors	36	11	10	15	45:46	43
8	Atletico Santo Domingo	36	10	12	14	37:44	42
9	Atletico Porteno	36	11	6	19	46:64	39
10	LDU Portoviejo	36	9	10	17	42:52	37