Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Atletico Porteno play EL Nacional in the Serie B 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico Porteno averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. EL Nacional averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico Porteno won 1, EL Nacional won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 22, 2021 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Atletico Porteno and 1.18 for EL Nacional. This points to a Atletico Porteno double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Atletico Porteno has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to EL Nacional.
- Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Atletico Porteno.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie B 2021 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Atletico Porteno | EL Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Atletico Porteno Compare
EL Nacional Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Atletico Porteno scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
EL Nacional let in goals in 91% of their last 33 matches.
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
Atletico Porteno went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
EL Nacional lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cumbaya | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 47:36 | 67 |
| 2 | Gualaceo | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 46:31 | 60 |
| 3 | EL Nacional | 36 | 16 | 11 | 9 | 49:36 | 59 |
| 4 | Chacaritas | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 35:34 | 49 |
| 5 | America de Quito | 36 | 10 | 17 | 9 | 41:33 | 47 |
| 6 | Buhos ULVR | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 41:53 | 47 |
| 7 | Independiente Juniors | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 45:46 | 43 |
| 8 | Atletico Santo Domingo | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 37:44 | 42 |
| 9 | Atletico Porteno | 36 | 11 | 6 | 19 | 46:64 | 39 |
| 10 | LDU Portoviejo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42:52 | 37 |