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Atletico Porteno vs Santa Rita

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2020
Sun, Aug 2, 2020
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Atletico Porteno host Santa Rita in the Serie B 2020. Little to choose between these two on current form. Santa Rita have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Atletico Porteno have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.75. Head-to-head, Atletico Porteno have won 1 to Santa Rita's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 31, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.48 - 1.06) back Atletico Porteno to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Atletico Porteno
30%
Draws
34%
Santa Rita
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Atletico Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Rita haven't matched Atletico Porteno's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Atletico Porteno's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Serie B 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Atletico Porteno Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Rita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Porteno Santa Rita
Matches Played 32 16
Wins 11 2
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2020 Serie B
Santa Rita vs Atletico Porteno
0:0
Sep 27, 2020 Serie B
Santa Rita vs Atletico Porteno
0:0
Sep 17, 2020 Serie B
Atletico Porteno vs Santa Rita
1:0
Aug 2, 2020 Serie B
Atletico Porteno vs Santa Rita
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Serie B
Atletico Porteno vs Santa Rita
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Porteno 36 / 100
Santa Rita 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Porteno Santa Rita

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Rita has conceded goals in 81% of their last 16 outings.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Porteno scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Atletico Porteno went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Porteno VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1896327:1633
2Manta1895426:1832
3America de Quito1884620:1428
4Atletico Porteno1875615:1526
5Chacaritas1858523:2623
6Gualaceo1864821:2122
7Independiente Juniors1848619:2420
8Atletico Santo Domingo1848612:1920
9Fuerza Amarilla1839614:1918
10Santa Rita1837819:2416