Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014

Atletico Rafal

1 - 3

Pena Deportiva

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pena Deportiva in this Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pena Deportiva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Atletico Rafal

Draws

90%

Pena Deportiva

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pena Deportiva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Pena Deportiva have won more games recently than Atletico Rafal.
90% — that's where the model lands on Pena Deportiva taking it.
Regular Tercera Division - Group 11 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Pena Deportiva have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Atletico Rafal Clean Sheet 20%

Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Rafal	Pena Deportiva
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	4	17
Draws	9	9
Losses	17	5
Goals Scored	0	1
Goals Conceded	0	1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Atletico Rafal vs Pena Deportiva

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 3 - 4

0:1

Oct 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Pena Deportiva vs Atletico Rafal

Possession: 53% - 60% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Apr 13, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Atletico Rafal vs Pena Deportiva

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 3 - 0

1:3

Nov 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 11

Pena Deportiva vs Atletico Rafal

Possession: 47% - 45% Cards: 3 - 0

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Rafal 10 / 100

Pena Deportiva 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Rafal Pena Deportiva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pena Deportiva has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Rafal scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Atletico Rafal remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Pena Deportiva

0 Goals Scored 1

0 Goals Conceded 1

0% Over 1.5 75%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mallorca B	38	25	8	5	90:27	83
2	Pena Deportiva	38	24	8	6	75:33	80
3	Formentera	38	24	8	6	58:27	80
4	Binissalem	38	18	13	7	56:31	67
5	Mercadal	38	19	8	11	55:53	65
6	UD Poblense	38	17	13	8	60:35	64
7	Alcudia	38	16	12	10	59:41	60
8	Penya Ciutadella Esportiva	38	17	3	18	47:51	54
9	Llosetense	38	15	9	14	54:53	54
10	Manacor	38	14	11	13	63:62	53
11	Collerense	38	16	5	17	60:60	53
12	Platges de Calvia	38	12	13	13	41:40	49
13	Campos	38	12	11	15	51:54	47
14	Ferriolense	38	12	9	17	41:50	45
15	Atletico Rafal	38	10	12	16	42:65	42
16	El Espinar Sant Rafel	38	10	10	18	47:60	40
17	CD Montuiri	38	10	8	20	42:53	38
18	Rotlet Molinar	38	11	4	23	43:84	37
19	Felanitx	38	6	8	24	27:65	26
20	Santanyi	38	2	7	29	26:93	13