Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Operario Esporte Clube

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Matheus Sacramento
(Penalty)
48' Event
Matheus Sacramento

AI Match Summary

The Amazonense 2023 game between Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) and Operario Esporte Clube finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
6%
Draws
90%
Operario Esporte Clube
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Operario Esporte Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Operario Esporte Clube a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Clean Sheet 10%
Operario Esporte Clube Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Operario Esporte Clube
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 0.57 0.75
Goals Conceded 3.86 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.57 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.86 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 25, 2024 Amazonense
Operario Esporte Clube vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
3:1
Feb 19, 2023 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Operario Esporte Clube
2:0
Oct 23, 2021 Amazonense 2
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Operario Esporte Clube
0:0
May 9, 2015 Amazonense
Operario Esporte Clube vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
4:5
Mar 21, 2015 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Operario Esporte Clube
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus Sacramento
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.44
Avg xA / game 0.28

Operario Esporte Clube Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 10 / 100
Operario Esporte Clube 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Operario Esporte Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OPE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Operario Esporte Clube's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.

Operario Esporte Clube's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) VS Operario Esporte Clube
0.57 Goals Scored 0.75
3.86 Goals Conceded 2.5
86% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 75%
57% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)

(Home)
22 Mar
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
1 : 4
Princesa do Solimoes
19 Mar
Parintins
7 : 0
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
16 Mar
Manauara
8 : 0
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
10 Mar
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
2 : 4
Sao Raimundo AM
06 Feb
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
0 : 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
Page 1 of 7

Operario Esporte Clube

(Away)
07 Jul
Operario Esporte Clube
1 : 2
Itacoatiara
29 Jun
Operario Esporte Clube
5 : 0
Taruma
21 Jun
Operario Esporte Clube
3 : 2
Sul America
09 Jun
Cliper
1 : 2
Operario Esporte Clube
01 Jun
Operario Esporte Clube
5 : 2
Fast Clube
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Amazonas861117:319
2Manauara852121:617
3Princesa do Solimoes842210:714
4Manaus FC83417:513
5Nacional-AM (Manaus)82519:811
6Parintins82336:109
7Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)81437:107
8Operario Esporte Clube80261:142
9Iranduba80354:193
10Fast Clube00000:00
Promotion - Amazonense 2023 (Play Offs)