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Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Sao Raimundo AM

Brazil Brazil

Amazonense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
da Silva D.
51' Event
53' Event
Salgado L.

AI Match Summary

Sao Raimundo AM in this Amazonense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Raimundo AM.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
6%
Draws
90%
Sao Raimundo AM
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sao Raimundo AM

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Raimundo AM haven't matched Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)'s recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Sao Raimundo AM taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Raimundo AM Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Sao Raimundo AM
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 0.33 0.88
Goals Conceded 6.33 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.33 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.33 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Sao Raimundo AM
2:4
Mar 17, 2018 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Sao Raimundo AM
1:0
Apr 19, 2017 Amazonense
Sao Raimundo AM vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
0:3
Mar 18, 2017 Amazonense
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Sao Raimundo AM
2:0
Oct 12, 2016 Amazonense
Sao Raimundo AM vs Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcos Miranda
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.17

Sao Raimundo AM Compare

Top Goalscorer Salgado L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader da Silva D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 10 / 100
Sao Raimundo AM 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Sao Raimundo AM

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Raimundo AM's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Sao Raimundo AM's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) VS Sao Raimundo AM
0.33 Goals Scored 0.88
6.33 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manaus FC431010:210
2Amazonas42116:47
3Nacional-AM (Manaus)40403:34
4Unidos do Alvorada41124:54
5Operario Esporte Clube40134:131
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manauara422010:18
2Princesa do Solimoes42207:38
3Parintins421110:27
4Sao Raimundo AM41126:74
5Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)40043:230