Sport Picks

Brazil

Serie A 1986

Sport Belem

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) play Sport Belem in the Serie A 1986. It looks like a close match. Recently, Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Sport Belem averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) won 1, Sport Belem won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 2, 1986 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.75 for Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) and 1.73 for Sport Belem. This points to a Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)

17%

Draws

32%

Sport Belem

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) picked up more points recently compared to Sport Belem.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.75 vs 1.73 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 67%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Clean Sheet 12%

Sport Belem Clean Sheet 19%

First Half Goal 60%

Second Half Goal 64%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)	Sport Belem
Matches Played	30	14
Wins	12	5
Draws	6	3
Losses	12	6
Goals Scored	1.83	1.36
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 1986 Serie A Betano

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) vs Sport Belem

Possession: 51% - 49% Cards: 4 - 0

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) 48 / 100

Sport Belem 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) Sport Belem

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +18.8%

2.33

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) attacking → ← attacking Sport Belem

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Sport Belem let in goals in 71% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas) went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Sport Belem lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 18

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.33

1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Paulo	10	7	3	0	21:7	17
2	Internacional	10	5	4	1	13:5	14
3	Sport Recife	10	5	3	2	11:6	13
4	Fluminense	10	5	2	3	9:7	12
5	Bangu	10	4	4	2	11:6	12
6	Ceara	10	3	4	3	8:10	10
7	Sobradinho	10	3	2	5	8:12	8
8	Operario MS	10	3	1	6	9:15	7
9	Sampaio Correa	10	1	4	5	5:15	6
10	Remo	10	0	6	4	9:15	6
11	Coritiba	10	1	3	6	3:9	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	10	6	2	2	15:7	14
2	Ponte Preta	10	6	1	3	18:11	13
3	Corinthians	10	5	3	2	16:6	13
4	Athletico-PR	10	4	4	2	12:5	12
5	Gremio	10	4	3	3	15:11	11
6	Goias	10	3	4	3	8:9	10
7	America RJ	10	4	2	4	10:11	10
8	Joinville	10	3	3	4	14:17	9
9	Sergipe	10	3	2	5	5:16	8
10	Botafogo PB	10	3	1	6	9:16	7
11	Paysandu PA	10	1	1	8	5:18	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bahia	10	7	3	0	19:4	17
2	Guarani	10	7	2	1	19:5	16
3	Santos	10	6	2	2	16:6	14
4	Rio Branco SP	10	5	4	1	10:5	14
5	Cruzeiro	10	4	3	3	12:6	11
6	Atletico GO	10	4	2	4	9:8	10
7	Vasco	10	3	3	4	11:4	9
8	Nautico	10	4	0	6	7:13	8
9	Tuna Luso	10	2	1	7	8:20	5
10	Piaui	10	1	1	8	6:26	3
11	Várzea Grande EC	10	1	1	8	4:24	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Atletico-MG	10	7	3	0	18:6	17
2	Portuguesa	10	4	4	2	12:12	12
3	Vitoria	10	2	7	1	12:10	11
4	Comercial MS	10	3	4	3	9:11	10
5	Palmeiras	10	4	2	4	19:10	10
6	Nacional-AM (Manaus)	10	3	4	3	10:9	10
7	CSA	10	3	4	3	8:7	10
8	Botafogo RJ	10	3	4	3	11:11	10
9	Santa Cruz	10	3	3	4	11:14	9
10	Fortaleza	10	2	2	6	7:19	6
11	Alecrim	10	1	3	6	7:15	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Treze PB	8	5	2	1	8:2	12
2	Maranhao	8	4	2	2	10:7	10
3	Atletico Rio Negro (Amazonas)	8	3	4	1	5:2	10
4	Moto Club	8	4	1	3	9:10	9
5	America RN	8	3	3	2	9:3	9
6	Guarany	8	3	2	3	8:9	8
7	Ferroviario	8	1	4	3	7:8	6
8	Sport Belem	8	1	2	5	5:11	4
9	River-PI	8	0	4	4	6:15	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Central SC	8	5	1	2	11:6	11
2	Americano	8	5	1	2	11:6	11
3	Goytacaz	8	4	1	3	12:11	9
4	CRB	8	3	2	3	6:7	8
5	Catuense	8	2	4	2	9:9	8
6	Desportiva Ferroviaria	8	3	2	3	9:7	8
7	Taguatinga	8	3	1	4	14:12	7
8	Fluminense de Feira	8	1	4	3	7:12	6
9	Confianca	8	1	2	5	5:14	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Internacional de Limeira	8	6	1	1	16:3	13
2	Juventus-SP	8	4	4	0	8:2	12
3	Santo Andre	8	3	3	2	8:8	9
4	Anapolis	8	3	2	3	8:9	8
5	Itumbiara	8	1	6	1	6:7	8
6	America MG	8	2	3	3	10:9	7
7	Ubiratan	7	1	4	2	5:6	6
8	Mixto	8	1	2	5	9:21	4
9	Uberlandia	7	0	3	4	2:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Criciuma	8	6	2	0	12:4	14
2	Marcilio Dias	8	4	2	2	8:6	10
3	Londrina	8	3	3	2	9:8	9
4	Pinheiros	8	3	3	2	11:9	9
5	EC Juventude	8	2	4	2	7:5	8
6	Avai	8	3	1	4	5:6	7
7	Novo Hamburgo	8	3	1	4	8:11	7
8	Brasil de Pelotas	8	1	2	5	8:13	4
9	Cascavel Esporte Clube	8	0	4	4	6:12	4